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Kura Oncology (Kura Oncology) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $5.95 (As of Mar24)


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What is Kura Oncology Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, Kura Oncology's earnings power value is $5.95. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -249.45

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Kura Oncology Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kura Oncology's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kura Oncology Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Kura Oncology Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.03 10.11 7.40 6.04 5.11

Kura Oncology Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.54 6.46 5.48 5.11 5.95

Competitive Comparison of Kura Oncology's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Kura Oncology's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kura Oncology's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Kura Oncology's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kura Oncology's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Kura Oncology Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Kura Oncology's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 0.00
DDA 0.52
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 10.45
Tax Rate % 0.00
Maintenance Capex 0.99
Cash and Cash Equivalents 527.12
Short-Term Debt 1.36
Long-Term Debt 15.61
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 83.91

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $0.00 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 10.45,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 0.00 * 0.00% +10.45 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.00%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 0.00% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.52 * 0.5 * 0.00% = $0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Kura Oncology's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.99 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Kura Oncology's current cash and cash equivalent = $527.12 Mil.
Kura Oncology's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 15.61 + 1.36 = $16.97 Mil.
Kura Oncology's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 83.91 Mil.

Kura Oncology's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0 - 0.99)/ 9%+527.12-16.97 )/83.91
=5.95

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 5.9493713127942-20.79 )/5.9493713127942
= -249.45%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Kura Oncology  (NAS:KURA) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Kura Oncology Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Kura Oncology's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Kura Oncology (Kura Oncology) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
12730 High Bluff Drive, Suite 400, San Diego, CA, USA, 92130
Kura Oncology Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, that engages in discovering and developing therapeutics for the treatment of solid tumors and blood cancers. It focuses on the development of small-molecule product candidates that target cell signalling pathways to drive the progression of various cancers. The company has a lead product candidate, Tipifarnib, which is a farnesyl transferase inhibitor, in both solid tumors and blood cancers. It is advancing KO-947, a small molecule inhibitor of extracellular-signal-regulated kinase (ERK), as a treatment for patients with pancreatic cancer, colorectal cancer, non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and melanoma. Geographically operation of the group is carried through the United States.
Executives
Brian T. Powl officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O FATE THERAPEUTICS, INC., 12278 SCRIPPS SUMMIT DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92131
Thomas Malley director C/O KINIKSA PHARMACEUTICALS, LTD., CLARENDON HOUSE, 2 CHURCH STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM11
Thomas James Doyle officer: SVP, Finance & Accounting C/O KURA ONCOLOGY, INC., 12730 HIGH BLUFF DRIVE, SUITE 400, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Kirsten Flowers officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O KURA ONCOLOGY, INC., 12730 HIGH BLUFF DRIVE, SUITE 400, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Kathleen Ford officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O KURA ONCOLOGY, INC., 12730 HIGH BLUFF DRIVE, SUITE 400, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Stephen Dale officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O KURA ONCOLOGY, INC., 12730 HIGH BLUFF DRIVE, SUITE 400, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Teresa Brophy Bair officer: Chief Legal Officer C/O KURA ONCOLOGY, INC., 12730 HIGH BLUFF DRIVE, SUITE 400, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Helen Louise Collins director TWO CORPORATE DRIVE, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Carol Schafer director 42 WHITE STREET, FOURTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10013
Troy Edward Wilson director, officer: President and CEO C/O KURA ONCOLOGY, INC., 12730 HIGH BLUFF DRIVE, SUITE 400, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Marc Grasso officer: CFO, CBO C/O KURA ONCOLOGY, INC., 3033 SCIENCE PARK ROAD, SUITE 220, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Bridget A Martell officer: Acting Chief Medical Officer C/O POINT BIOPHARMA GLOBAL INC., 4850 WEST 78TH STREET, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46268
James Basta officer: Chief Legal Officer C/O KURA ONCOLOGY, INC., 3033 SCIENCE PARK RD, SUITE 220, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Diane L. Parks director 29 EMMONS DRIVE, SUITE B-10, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Antonio Gualberto officer: Chief Medical Officer 245 FIRST STREET, SUITE 1820, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142