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Xponential Fitness (Xponential Fitness) Altman Z-Score : -0.49 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Xponential Fitness Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -0.49 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Xponential Fitness has a Altman Z-Score of -0.49, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Xponential Fitness's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

XPOF' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1.58   Med: -0.66   Max: -0.49
Current: -0.49

During the past 6 years, Xponential Fitness's highest Altman Z-Score was -0.49. The lowest was -1.58. And the median was -0.66.


Xponential Fitness Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Xponential Fitness's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Xponential Fitness Altman Z-Score Chart

Xponential Fitness Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - -1.58 -0.66 -0.49

Xponential Fitness Quarterly Data
Dec18 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.66 -0.35 -0.48 -0.39 -0.49

Competitive Comparison of Xponential Fitness's Altman Z-Score

For the Leisure subindustry, Xponential Fitness's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Xponential Fitness's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Xponential Fitness's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Xponential Fitness's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Xponential Fitness Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Xponential Fitness's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0093+1.4*-1.1918+3.3*0.072+0.6*0.5531+1.0*0.6027
=-0.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was $528.7 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $97.2 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $92.3 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-630.1 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -8.216 + -4.981 + 27.657 + -15.102 = $-0.6 Mil.
Interest Expense was -11.491 + -10.638 + -8.627 + -7.977 = $-38.7 Mil.
Revenue was 90.195 + 80.435 + 77.34 + 70.69 = $318.7 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $404.6 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $731.5 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(97.248 - 92.307)/528.698
=0.0093

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-630.127/528.698
=-1.1918

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-0.642 - -38.733)/528.698
=0.072

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=404.563/731.492
=0.5531

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=318.66/528.698
=0.6027

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Xponential Fitness has a Altman Z-Score of -0.49 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Xponential Fitness  (NYSE:XPOF) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Xponential Fitness Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Xponential Fitness (Xponential Fitness) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
17877 Von Karman Avenue, Suite 100, Irvine, CA, USA, 92614
Xponential Fitness Inc is a curator of boutique fitness brands. Its diversified portfolio of brands includes Club Pilates, a Pilates brand in the United States; CycleBar, an indoor cycling brand in the United States; StretchLab, a concept offering one-on-one and group stretching services; Row House, a high-energy, low-impact indoor rowing workout; AKT, a dance-based cardio workout combining toning, interval and circuit training; YogaSix, a franchised yoga brand; Pure Barre, a total body workout that uses the ballet barre to perform small isometric movements; Stride, a treadmill-based cardio and strength training concept; Rumble, a boxing-inspired full-body workout; and BFT, a functional training and strength-based program. Its key revenue source is franchise income.
Executives
Chelsea A Grayson director 1116 SOUTH RIDGELEY DRIVE, LOS ANGELES CA 90019
Ryan Junk officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O XPONENTIAL FITNESS, INC., 17877 VON KARMAN AVE, SUITE 100, IRVINE CA 92614
Jair Clarke director 17877 VON KARMAN AVE., SUITE 100, IRVINE CA 92614
Andrew Hagopian officer: Chief Legal Officer 17877 VON KARMAN AVE, SUITE 100, IRVINE CA 92614
Anthony Geisler director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O XPONENTIAL FITNESS, INC., 17877 VON KARMAN AVE, SUITE 100, IRVINE CA 92614
Mark Grabowski director, 10 percent owner C/O XPONENTIAL FITNESS, INC., 17877 VON KARMAN AVE, SUITE 100, IRVINE CA 92614
Sarah Luna officer: President C/O XPONENTIAL FITNESS, INC., 17877 VON KARMAN AVE, SUITE 100, IRVINE CA 92614
John P Meloun officer: Chief Financial Officer 16767 N. PERIMETER DR., STE. 240, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Megan Moen officer: EVP, Finance C/O XPONENTIAL FITNESS, INC., 17877 VON KARMAN AVE, SUITE 100, IRVINE CA 92614
H&w Investco Lp 10 percent owner 113 BUFFALO BAY ROAD, MADISON CT 06443
H&w Investco Ii Lp 10 percent owner 113 BUFFALO BAY ROAD, MADISON CT 06443
Mgag Llc 10 percent owner 113 BUFFALO BAY ROAD, MADISON CT 06443
Lag Fit, Inc. director, 10 percent owner 6789 QUAIL HILL, PARKWAY #408, IRVINE CA 92603
Brenda I Morris director 6300 MERRILL CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE B, EVERETT WA 98203

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