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Vacasa (Vacasa) Altman Z-Score : -4.63 (As of May. 16, 2024)


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What is Vacasa Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -4.62 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Vacasa has a Altman Z-Score of -4.63, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Vacasa's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

VCSA' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.62   Med: -0.79   Max: 1.45
Current: -4.62

During the past 5 years, Vacasa's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.45. The lowest was -4.62. And the median was -0.79.


Vacasa Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Vacasa's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Vacasa Altman Z-Score Chart

Vacasa Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
- - 1.45 -0.76 -3.69

Vacasa Quarterly Data
Dec19 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.81 -0.84 -3.92 -3.69 -4.60

Competitive Comparison of Vacasa's Altman Z-Score

For the Software - Application subindustry, Vacasa's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vacasa's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Vacasa's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vacasa's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Vacasa Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Vacasa's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.3037+1.4*-2.0306+3.3*-0.9501+0.6*0.1206+1.0*1.6388
=-4.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2024:
Total Assets was $653 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $354 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $552 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-1,327 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -139.498 + -74.593 + -403.581 + -5.223 = $-623 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.525 + -0.574 + -0.561 + -0.589 = $-2 Mil.
Revenue was 209.472 + 177.44 + 379.077 + 304.579 = $1,071 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $70 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $584 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(354.093 - 552.461)/653.266
=-0.3037

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-1326.533/653.266
=-2.0306

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-622.895 - -2.249)/653.266
=-0.9501

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=70.380/583.597
=0.1206

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=1070.568/653.266
=1.6388

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Vacasa has a Altman Z-Score of -4.63 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Vacasa  (NAS:VCSA) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Vacasa Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Vacasa's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Vacasa (Vacasa) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
850 NW 13th Avenue, Portland, OR, USA, 97209
Vacasa Inc is a vacation rental management platform in North America, transforming the vacation rental experience by integrating purpose-built technology with expert local and national teams.
Executives
Mossytree Inc. 10 percent owner 201 SW DOGWOOD LN, WHITE SALMON WA 98672
John Banczak officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O VACASA, INC., 850 NW 13TH AVENUE, PORTLAND OR 97209
Robert Winston Greyber director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O SABRE STRATEGIC HOLDINGS, LLC, 3150 SABRE DRIVE, SOUTHLAKE TX 76092
Tad K Larsen officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O VACASA, INC., 850 NW 13TH AVENUE, PORTLAND OR 97209
Eric Breon 10 percent owner 201 SW DOGWOOD LN, WHITE SALMON WA 98672
Bruce Schuman officer: Chief Financial Officer 315 MONTGOMERY STREET, 15TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Kimberly Rene White director C/O VACASA, INC., 850 NW 13TH AVENUE, PORTLAND OR 97209
Rachel A Gonzalez director 3150 SABRE DRIVE, SOUTHLAKE TX 76092
Karl Mr. Peterson 10 percent owner 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Jon Winkelried 10 percent owner C/O GOLDMAN, SACHS & CO., 85 BROAD STREET, NEW YORK NY 10004
George Mcculloch director, 10 percent owner C/O MEDIDATA SOLUTIONS, INC., 79 FIFTH AVENUE, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Joerg Adams director C/O SILVER LAKE, 2776 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Slp Venice Holdings, L.p. director, 10 percent owner C/O SILVER LAKE, 2776 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Slp V Venice Feeder I, L.p. director, 10 percent owner C/O SILVER LAKE, 2776 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Rcp Iii (a) Blocker Feeder L.p. 10 percent owner RIVERWOOD MANAGEMENT, 70 WILLOW ROAD, SUITE 100, MENLO PARK CA 94025

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