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Frontier Group Holdings (Frontier Group Holdings) Altman Z-Score : 0.70 (As of May. 07, 2024)


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What is Frontier Group Holdings Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 0.7 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Frontier Group Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 0.70, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Frontier Group Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ULCC' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.66   Med: 0.79   Max: 1.1
Current: 0.7

During the past 9 years, Frontier Group Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.10. The lowest was 0.66. And the median was 0.79.


Frontier Group Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Frontier Group Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Frontier Group Holdings Altman Z-Score Chart

Frontier Group Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - - 0.84 0.95 0.75

Frontier Group Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar17 Dec18 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.01 1.10 0.79 0.75 0.76

Competitive Comparison of Frontier Group Holdings's Altman Z-Score

For the Airlines subindustry, Frontier Group Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Frontier Group Holdings's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Frontier Group Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Frontier Group Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Frontier Group Holdings Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Frontier Group Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.1717+1.4*0.0163+3.3*0.005+0.6*0.2846+1.0*0.6927
=0.70

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2024:
Total Assets was $5,206 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $903 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,797 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $85 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -24 + 6 + -45 + 88 = $25 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 1 + -1 + -1 = $-1 Mil.
Revenue was 865 + 891 + 883 + 967 = $3,606 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $1,344 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $4,722 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(903 - 1797)/5206
=-0.1717

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=85/5206
=0.0163

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(25 - -1)/5206
=0.005

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=1343.749/4722
=0.2846

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=3606/5206
=0.6927

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Frontier Group Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 0.70 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Frontier Group Holdings  (NAS:ULCC) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Frontier Group Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Frontier Group Holdings's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Frontier Group Holdings (Frontier Group Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4545 Airport Way, Denver, CO, USA, 80239
Frontier Group Holdings Inc is an ultra low-cost carrier whose business is focused on Low Fares Done Right. The company owns fleet of 120 Airbus single-aisle aircraft, consisting of 13 A320ceos, 82 A320neos, 21 A321ceos and 4 A321neos. The use of these aircraft, its seating configuration, weight-saving tactics and baggage process have all contributed to ability to continue to be the fuel-efficient of all the U.S. The Company is managed as a single business unit that provides air transportation for passengers.
Executives
James G. Dempsey officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer C/O FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 4545 AIRPORT WAY, DENVER CO 80238
Howard Diamond officer: SVP, GC & Secretary C/O FRONTIER AIRLINES, 7001 TOWER ROAD, DENVER CO 80249
Rajat Khanna officer: See Remarks C/O FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 4545 AIRPORT WAY, DENVER CO 80239
Barry Biffle director, officer: See Remarks C/O SPIRIT AIRLINES, 2800 EXECUTIVE WAY, MIRAMAR FL 30325
Jacob F. Filene officer: See Remarks C/O FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 4545 AIRPORT WAY, DENVER CO 80238
Daniel M. Shurz officer: See Remarks C/O FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 4545 AIRPORT WAY, DENVER CO 80238
Josh A Wetzel officer: VP & CAO C/O FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 4545 AIRPORT WAY, DENVER CO 80239
Ofelia Kumpf director C/O FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 4545 AIRPORT WAY, DENVER CO 80238
Mark Christopher Mitchell officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 4545 AIRPORT WAY, DENVER CO 80238
Robert J. Genise director C/O FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 4545 AIRPORT WAY, DENVER CO 80238
Indigo Frontier Holdings Company, Llc 10 percent owner C/O INDIGO PARTNERS, 2525 EAST CAMELBACK ROAD, SUITE 900, PHOENIX AZ 85016
Josh T. Connor director C/O FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 4545 AIRPORT WAY, DENVER CO 80238
Patricia Salas Pineda director C/O LEVI STRAUSS & CO., 1155 BATTERY STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
William A Franke director, 10 percent owner
Trevor J. Stedke officer: See Remarks C/O FRONTIER GROUP HOLDINGS, INC., 4545 AIRPORT WAY, DENVER CO 80238