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Advance Residence Investment (TSE:3269) Altman Z-Score : 1.61 (As of May. 02, 2024)


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What is Advance Residence Investment Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.57 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Advance Residence Investment has a Altman Z-Score of 1.61, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Advance Residence Investment's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3269' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.95   Med: 1.27   Max: 1.66
Current: 1.57

During the past 11 years, Advance Residence Investment's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.66. The lowest was 0.95. And the median was 1.27.


Advance Residence Investment Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Advance Residence Investment's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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Advance Residence Investment Altman Z-Score Chart

Advance Residence Investment Annual Data
Trend Jul12 Jul13 Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.22 1.32 1.48 1.55 1.66

Advance Residence Investment Semi-Annual Data
Jan14 Jul14 Jan15 Jul15 Jan16 Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jan24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.66 - 1.61 - -

Competitive Comparison of Advance Residence Investment's Altman Z-Score

For the REIT - Residential subindustry, Advance Residence Investment's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Advance Residence Investment's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Advance Residence Investment's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Advance Residence Investment's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Advance Residence Investment Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Advance Residence Investment's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0103+1.4*0.0836+3.3*0.0357+0.6*2.1904+1.0*0.074
=1.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jul. 2021:
Total Assets was 円457,829 Mil.
Total Current Assets was 円25,159 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was 円29,896 Mil.
Retained Earnings was 円38,287 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 円14,845 Mil.
Interest Expense was 円-1,511 Mil.
Revenue was 円33,898 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was 円497,968 Mil.
Total Liabilities was 円227,337 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(25159.123 - 29896.366)/457829.38
=-0.0103

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=38286.573/457829.38
=0.0836

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(14844.557 - -1511.111)/457829.38
=0.0357

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=497967.500/227337.494
=2.1904

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=33898.029/457829.38
=0.074

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Advance Residence Investment has a Altman Z-Score of 1.61 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Advance Residence Investment  (TSE:3269) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Advance Residence Investment Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Advance Residence Investment (TSE:3269) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3-26 Kanda-Nishikicho, Chiyoda Ward, Tokyo, JPN, 101-0054
Advance Residence Investment Corp is a real estate investment trust that engaged in the property leasing business. It was created through consolidation type merger between the former Advance Residence Investment Corporation and Nippon Residential Investment Corporation. In order to secure stable earnings and steady growth in assets under management, the company procures funds through loans, issuance of investment corporation bonds, issuance of units, and other means of financing for purchasing real estate properties and repaying its debts. The company primarily invests in residential real estate properties located in central Tokyo, and the Tokyo metropolitan area.

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