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Vail Resorts (Vail Resorts) Altman Z-Score : 1.90 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Vail Resorts Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.9 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Vail Resorts has a Altman Z-Score of 1.90, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Vail Resorts is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Vail Resorts's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MTN' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.88   Med: 2.47   Max: 4.04
Current: 1.9

During the past 13 years, Vail Resorts's highest Altman Z-Score was 4.04. The lowest was 1.88. And the median was 2.47.


Vail Resorts Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Vail Resorts's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Vail Resorts Altman Z-Score Chart

Vail Resorts Annual Data
Trend Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.27 1.95 2.45 2.33 2.17

Vail Resorts Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.33 2.32 2.17 1.88 2.02

Competitive Comparison of Vail Resorts's Altman Z-Score

For the Resorts & Casinos subindustry, Vail Resorts's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vail Resorts's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Vail Resorts's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vail Resorts's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Vail Resorts Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Vail Resorts's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0085+1.4*0.1301+3.3*0.0862+0.6*1.6033+1.0*0.4865
=1.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2024:
Total Assets was $5,848 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,179 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,229 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $761 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 317.291 + -248.207 + -191.523 + 467.455 = $345 Mil.
Interest Expense was -38.885 + -40.73 + -40.211 + -39.139 = $-159 Mil.
Revenue was 1077.958 + 258.565 + 269.768 + 1238.431 = $2,845 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $7,531 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $4,697 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1178.804 - 1228.774)/5847.664
=-0.0085

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=760.82/5847.664
=0.1301

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(345.016 - -158.965)/5847.664
=0.0862

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=7530.819/4696.999
=1.6033

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=2844.722/5847.664
=0.4865

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Vail Resorts has a Altman Z-Score of 1.90 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Vail Resorts  (NYSE:MTN) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Vail Resorts Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Vail Resorts (Vail Resorts) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
390 Interlocken Crescent, Broomfield, CO, USA, 80021
Vail Resorts Inc Bhd is a resorts and casinos company that operates mountain resorts and ski areas. The company has three business segments that include Mountain, Lodging, and Real Estate. The Mountain segment operates numerous ski resort properties that offer a variety of winter and summer activities, such as skiing, snowboarding, snowshoeing, hiking, and mountain biking. The Lodging segment owns and operates hotels and condominiums. The Real Estate segment owns, develops, and leases real estate, typically near its other properties. The company generates the vast majority of its revenue within the United States.
Executives
Hilary Schneider director C/O LIFELOCK, INC., 60 EAST RIO SALADO PARKWAY, SUITE 400, TEMPE AZ 85281
William Rock officer: President, Mountain Division C/O VAIL RESORTS, INC., 390 INTERLOCKEN CRESCENT, BROOMFIELD CO 80021
Angela A Korch officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer C/O VAIL RESORTS, INC., 390 INTERLOCKEN CRESCENT, BROOMFIELD CO 80021
Michael Z Barkin officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer 390 INTERLOCKEN CRESCENT, SUITE 1000, BROOMFIELD CO 80021
John F Sorte director VAIL RESORTS INC, PO BOX 7, VAIL CO 89658
Robert A Katz director, officer: Chief Exec.Officer & Chairman C/O VAIL RESORTS, INC., 390 INTERLOCKEN CRESCENT, SUITE 1000, BROOMFIELD CO 80021
Ryan Bennett officer: SVP & Chief Marketing Officer 390 INTERLOCKEN CRESCENT, SUITE 1000, BROOMFIELD CO 80021
Nathan Mark Gronberg officer: VP, Controller & CAO 390 INTERLOCKEN CRESCENT, SUITE 1000, BROOMFIELD CO 80021
Peter A Vaughn director 390 INTERLOCKEN CRESCENT, BROOMFIELD CO 80021
James C. O'donnell officer: EVP, Hospitality, Retail & RE 390 INTERLOCKEN CRESCENT, SUITE 1000, BROOMFIELD CO 80021
David T Shapiro officer: EVP, General Counsel & Sec. 601 HAWAII ST., EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Kirsten A. Lynch officer: EVP & Chief Marketing Officer 390 INTERLOCKEN CRESCENT, BROOMFIELD CO 80021
Gregory Jon Sullivan officer: SVP, Retail & Hospitality 390 INTERLOCKEN CRESCENT, SUITE 1000, BROOMFIELD CO 80021
Patricia A Campbell officer: President-Mountain Division 390 INTERLOCKEN CRESCENT, SUITE 1000, BROOMFIELD CO 80021
Ryan H Siurek officer: VP, Controller & CAO 6200 SPRINT PARKWAY, OVERLAND PARK KS 66251