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Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) (HKSE:02451) Altman Z-Score : 2.64 (As of May. 19, 2024)


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What is Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.64 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.64, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman)'s Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:02451' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.64   Med: 2.65   Max: 2.65
Current: 2.64

During the past 4 years, Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman)'s highest Altman Z-Score was 2.65. The lowest was 2.64. And the median was 2.65.


Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman)'s Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Altman Z-Score Chart

Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
- - - 2.65

Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Semi-Annual Data
Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score - - - 2.65

Competitive Comparison of Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman)'s Altman Z-Score

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman)'s Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman)'s Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman)'s Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman)'s Altman Z-Score falls into.



Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman)'s Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2075+1.4*0.1447+3.3*0.0448+0.6*1.2029+1.0*1.316
=2.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was HK$4,225 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$2,877 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$2,001 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$611 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was HK$165 Mil.
Interest Expense was HK$-24 Mil.
Revenue was HK$5,560 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was HK$3,072 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$2,554 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2877.389 - 2000.612)/4224.7
=0.2075

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=611.42/4224.7
=0.1447

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(165.314 - -24.046)/4224.7
=0.0448

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=3072.002/2553.882
=1.2029

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=5559.658/4224.7
=1.316

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) has a Altman Z-Score of 2.64 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman)  (HKSE:02451) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) (HKSE:02451) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 168 Shicheng Street, Jinhua Industry Zone, Zhejiang, Jinhua, CHN
Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) Ltd is an electric two-wheeled vehicle provider in mainland China, focusing on the design, research and development, manufacturing and selling of electric two-wheeled vehicles. It has built an offline sales and distribution network and embraced informatization and established online retail channels, continuously improving the penetration and coverage of its products.

Luyuan Group Holding (Cayman) (HKSE:02451) Headlines

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