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Gemdale Properties and Investment (HKSE:00535) Altman Z-Score : 0.43 (As of Jun. 08, 2024)


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What is Gemdale Properties and Investment Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 0.43 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Gemdale Properties and Investment has a Altman Z-Score of 0.43, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Gemdale Properties and Investment's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00535' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.43   Med: 0.71   Max: 0.95
Current: 0.43

During the past 13 years, Gemdale Properties and Investment's highest Altman Z-Score was 0.95. The lowest was 0.43. And the median was 0.71.


Gemdale Properties and Investment Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Gemdale Properties and Investment's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Gemdale Properties and Investment Altman Z-Score Chart

Gemdale Properties and Investment Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.71 0.92 0.68 0.47 0.43

Gemdale Properties and Investment Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.68 - 0.47 - 0.43

Competitive Comparison of Gemdale Properties and Investment's Altman Z-Score

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Gemdale Properties and Investment's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Gemdale Properties and Investment's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Gemdale Properties and Investment's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Gemdale Properties and Investment's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Gemdale Properties and Investment Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Gemdale Properties and Investment's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.0711+1.4*0+3.3*0.0343+0.6*0.0692+1.0*0.1916
=0.43

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was HK$99,642 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$50,665 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$43,582 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$0 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was HK$1,952 Mil.
Interest Expense was HK$-1,461 Mil.
Revenue was HK$19,089 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was HK$4,901 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$70,822 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(50665.358 - 43582.384)/99641.514
=0.0711

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=0/99641.514
=0

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(1952.432 - -1461.437)/99641.514
=0.0343

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=4901.038/70822.188
=0.0692

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=19089.038/99641.514
=0.1916

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Gemdale Properties and Investment has a Altman Z-Score of 0.43 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Gemdale Properties and Investment  (HKSE:00535) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Gemdale Properties and Investment Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Gemdale Properties and Investment (HKSE:00535) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
28 Queen’s Road Central, 19th Floor, Central Tower, Central, Hong Kong, HKG
Gemdale Properties and Investment Corp Ltd is an investment holding company that operates through four segments. The property development segment, which produces the company's revenue, develops and sells residential and commercial properties. The property investment and management segment invests and manages business parks and commercial properties. In the microfinance segment, Gemdale provides financial services to potential property buyers and small businesses. The corporate segment provides corporate management services to residential, commercial, and business park projects. The company generates almost all of its revenue from Mainland China.
Executives
Gemdale Corporation 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Lippo Capital Group Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Riady Stephen 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Leonardi Shincee 2202 Interest of your spouse
Riady James Tjahaja 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Pt Trijaya Utama Mandiri 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Oue Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Lippo Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Lippo Capital Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Lippo Capital Holdings Company Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Lippo Asm Asia Property Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hongkong Chinese Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Hambali Aileen 2202 Interest of your spouse
Fortune Crane Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Chan Kin 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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