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YGM Trading (HKSE:00375) Altman Z-Score : 1.74 (As of May. 16, 2024)


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What is YGM Trading Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.75 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

YGM Trading has a Altman Z-Score of 1.74, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for YGM Trading's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00375' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.75   Med: 4.53   Max: 9.48
Current: 1.75

During the past 13 years, YGM Trading's highest Altman Z-Score was 9.48. The lowest was 1.75. And the median was 4.53.


YGM Trading Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for YGM Trading's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

YGM Trading Altman Z-Score Chart

YGM Trading Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.83 2.49 2.62 2.84 1.91

YGM Trading Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 2.84 - 1.91 -

Competitive Comparison of YGM Trading's Altman Z-Score

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, YGM Trading's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


YGM Trading's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, YGM Trading's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where YGM Trading's Altman Z-Score falls into.



YGM Trading Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

YGM Trading's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.2245+1.4*0.215+3.3*-0.0212+0.6*1.4482+1.0*0.3666
=1.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2023:
Total Assets was HK$584.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$199.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$68.4 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$125.6 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was HK$-14.8 Mil.
Interest Expense was HK$-2.4 Mil.
Revenue was HK$214.1 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was HK$154.3 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$106.5 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(199.603 - 68.443)/584.127
=0.2245

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=125.563/584.127
=0.215

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-14.771 - -2.366)/584.127
=-0.0212

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=154.253/106.51
=1.4482

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=214.129/584.127
=0.3666

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

YGM Trading has a Altman Z-Score of 1.74 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


YGM Trading  (HKSE:00375) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


YGM Trading Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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YGM Trading (HKSE:00375) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
22 Tai Yau Street, San Po Kong, Kowloon, Hong Kong, HKG
YGM Trading Ltd is an investment holding and provision of management service company. The company's operating segments include Sales of garments; Licensing of trademarks; Printing and related services and Property rental. The sales of garments segment of the company is involved in the wholesale and retail of garments; the Printing and related services segment is engaged in the provision of security printing and sale of printed products; Licensing of trademarks segment is engaged in the management and licensing of trademarks for royalty income, and Property rental: leasing of properties to generate rental income. The company generates maximum revenue from the Sales of the garments segment. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from Hong Kong.

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