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GCM Grosvenor (GCM Grosvenor) Altman Z-Score : 1.26 (As of May. 18, 2024)


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What is GCM Grosvenor Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.25 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

GCM Grosvenor has a Altman Z-Score of 1.26, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for GCM Grosvenor's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

GCMG' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.23   Med: 1.63   Max: 2.73
Current: 1.25

During the past 6 years, GCM Grosvenor's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.73. The lowest was 1.23. And the median was 1.63.


GCM Grosvenor Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for GCM Grosvenor's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

GCM Grosvenor Altman Z-Score Chart

GCM Grosvenor Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - 1.29 2.66 2.11 1.31

GCM Grosvenor Quarterly Data
Dec18 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.73 1.30 1.26 1.31 1.23

Competitive Comparison of GCM Grosvenor's Altman Z-Score

For the Asset Management subindustry, GCM Grosvenor's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


GCM Grosvenor's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, GCM Grosvenor's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where GCM Grosvenor's Altman Z-Score falls into.



GCM Grosvenor Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

GCM Grosvenor's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0022+1.4*-0.0688+3.3*-0.0032+0.6*0.7363+1.0*0.9235
=1.26

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2024:
Total Assets was $497.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $84.5 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $85.5 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-34.2 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -17.797 + 6.453 + 20.959 + -34.201 = $-24.6 Mil.
Interest Expense was -5.923 + -5.72 + -5.688 + -5.682 = $-23.0 Mil.
Revenue was 111.68 + 115.632 + 123.302 + 108.669 = $459.3 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was $440.5 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $598.2 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(84.464 - 85.544)/497.304
=-0.0022

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-34.201/497.304
=-0.0688

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-24.586 - -23.013)/497.304
=-0.0032

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=440.463/598.175
=0.7363

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=459.283/497.304
=0.9235

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

GCM Grosvenor has a Altman Z-Score of 1.26 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


GCM Grosvenor  (NAS:GCMG) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


GCM Grosvenor Altman Z-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of GCM Grosvenor's Altman Z-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


GCM Grosvenor (GCM Grosvenor) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
900 North Michigan Avenue, Suite 1100, Chicago, IL, USA, 60611
GCM Grosvenor Inc is a global alternative asset management firm. It invests on behalf of clients who seek allocations to alternative investments, such as private equity, infrastructure, real estate, credit, ESG and absolute return strategies. The company's offerings include multi-manager portfolios as well as portfolios of direct investments and co-investments. It also offers multi-client portfolios for investors who desire a turn-key solution for accessing alternative investments.
Executives
Pamela L Bentley officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O THE CARLYLE GROUP, 1001 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, N.W., WASHINGTON DC 20004
Sandra Hurse officer: Chief HR Officer C/O GROSVENOR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, 900 NORTH MICHIGAN AVENUE, SUITE 1100, CHICAGO IL 60611
Kathleen Patricia Sullivan officer: M D and Head of Accounting 900 NORTH MICHIGAN AVENUE, SUITE 1100, CHICAGO IL 60611
Adage Capital Partners Gp, L.l.c. 10 percent owner 200 CLARENDON STREET, 52ND FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Gcm Progress Llc 10 percent owner C/O GCM GROSVENOR, 900 NORTH MICHIGAN AVENUE, SUITE 1100, CHICAGO IL 60611
Gcm Progress Subsidiary Llc 10 percent owner C/O GCM GROSVENOR, 900 NORTH MICHIGAN AVENUE, SUITE 1100, CHICAGO IL 60611
Cf Finance Holdings Llc 10 percent owner 110 EAST 59TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
Stephen Malkin director C/O GROSVENOR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, 900 NORTH MICHIGAN AVENUE, SUITE 1100, CHICAGO IL 60611
Francesca Cornelli director C/O GROSVENOR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, 900 NORTH MICHIGAN AVENUE, SUITE 1100, CHICAGO IL 60611
Angela Blanton director C/O GROSVENOR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, 900 NORTH MICHIGAN AVENUE, SUITE 1100, CHICAGO IL 60611
Gcm V, Llc 10 percent owner C/O GROSVENOR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, 900 NORTH MICHIGAN AVENUE, SUITE 1100, CHICAGO IL 60611
Grosvenor Holdings, L.l.c. 10 percent owner 900 NORTH MICHIGAN AVE, SUITE 1100, CHICAGO IL 60611
Jonathan Reisin Levin director, officer: President 900 NORTH MICHIGAN AVENUE, SUITE 1100, CHICAGO IL 60611
Frederick Pollock officer: Chief Investment Officer 900 NORTH MICHIGAN AVENUE, SUITE 1100, CHICAGO IL 60611
Michael Jay Sacks director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 900 NORTH MICHIGAN AVENUE, SUITE 1100, CHICAGO IL 60611

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