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SIFCO Industries (SIFCO Industries) Altman Z2-Score : 0.56 (As of Jun. 05, 2024)


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What is SIFCO Industries Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

SIFCO Industries has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.56, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for SIFCO Industries's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SIF' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.56   Med: 2.09   Max: 7.68
Current: 0.56

During the past 13 years, SIFCO Industries's highest Altman Z2-Score was 7.68. The lowest was 0.56. And the median was 2.09.


SIFCO Industries Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for SIFCO Industries's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

SIFCO Industries Altman Z2-Score Chart

SIFCO Industries Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.44 2.94 2.69 1.62 0.91

SIFCO Industries Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Mar24
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.35 0.75 0.91 0.91 0.56

Competitive Comparison of SIFCO Industries's Altman Z2-Score

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, SIFCO Industries's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


SIFCO Industries's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, SIFCO Industries's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where SIFCO Industries's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



SIFCO Industries Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

SIFCO Industries's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*-0.0111+3.26*0.1752+6.72*-0.0529+1.05*0.3979
=0.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2024:
Total Assets was $104.19 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $51.62 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $52.78 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $18.25 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -1.543 + -3.071 + -0.599 + -2.339 = $-7.55 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.963 + -0.429 + -0.305 + -0.339 = $-2.04 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $74.53 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(51.621 - 52.782)/104.188
=-0.0111

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=18.252/104.188
=0.1752

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-7.552 - -2.036)/104.188
=-0.0529

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(29.656 - 0)/74.532
=0.3979

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

SIFCO Industries has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.56 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


SIFCO Industries  (AMEX:SIF) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


SIFCO Industries Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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SIFCO Industries (SIFCO Industries) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
970 East 64th Street, Cleveland, OH, USA, 44103
SIFCO Industries Inc is engaged in the production of forgings and machined components for the Aerospace and Energy, Defense and Commercial Space markets. Its processes and services include forging, heat-treating and machining. It serves original equipment manufacturers (OEM) as well as aftermarket customers. Its products are made of steel, stainless steel, titanium and aluminium and include OEM and aftermarket components for aircraft and industrial gas turbine engines, steam turbine blades, structural airframe components, aircraft landing gear components, aircraft wheels and brakes, critical rotating components for helicopters and industrial products. Substantial revenue is derived from North America as well as operates in Europe.
Executives
Wells Norman E Jr. director PO BOX 609, AURORA OH 44202
Alayne L Reitman director SIFCO INDUSTRIES INC, 970 EAST 64TH STREET, CLEVELAND OH 44103
Peter William Knapper director, officer: President & CEO 5924 MEDALLION DRIVE, WESTERVILLE OH 43082
Molten Donald C Jr. director 970 EAST 64TH STREET, CLEVELAND OH 44103
Mark J Silk director, 10 percent owner 4946 AZUSA CANYON ROAD, IRWINDALE CA 91706
Hudson Smith director SIFCO INDUSTRIES INC, 970 EAST 64TH STREET, CLEVELAND OH 44103
Thomas Robert Kubera officer: Corporate Controller 1327 SPRUCEDALE ROAD, BROADVIEW HEIGHTS OH 44147
Jeffrey P Gotschall director SIFCO INDUSTRIES INC, 970 EAST 64TH STREET, CLEVELAND OH 44103
Salvatore Incanno officer: VP of Finance & CFO 970 E. 64TH ST, CLEVELAND OH 44103
John Sr Chapman director 970 EAST 64TH STREET, CLEVELAND OH 44103
Dennis Paul Hido officer: Corporate Controller 21 EMERALD COURT, CANFIELD OH 44406
Catherine Marie Kramer officer: Vice President-Finance & CFO 14388 CASTLEREAGH LANE, STRONSVILLE OH 44136
Frank N Nichols director 8646 CARDINAL DRIVE, KIRTLAND OH 44094
Frank A Cappello officer: Vice President Finance and CFO SIFCO INDUSTRIES INC, 970 EAST 64TH STREET, CLEVELAND OH 44103
Miller P Charles Jr director SIFCO INDUSTRIES INC, 970 EAST 64TH STREET, CLEVELAND OH 44103

SIFCO Industries (SIFCO Industries) Headlines