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Mercer International (Mercer International) Altman Z2-Score : 2.35 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Mercer International Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Mercer International has a Altman Z2-Score of 2.35, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Mercer International is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.1, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Mercer International's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MERC' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.27   Med: 3.29   Max: 5.02
Current: 2.35

During the past 13 years, Mercer International's highest Altman Z2-Score was 5.02. The lowest was 2.27. And the median was 3.29.


Mercer International Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Mercer International's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Mercer International Altman Z2-Score Chart

Mercer International Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.93 3.01 4.08 4.14 2.27

Mercer International Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.73 2.64 2.65 2.27 2.35

Competitive Comparison of Mercer International's Altman Z2-Score

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Mercer International's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mercer International's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Mercer International's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mercer International's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Mercer International Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Mercer International's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.3168+3.26*0.1207+6.72*-0.0615+1.05*0.2823
=2.35

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2024:
Total Assets was $2,605 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,127 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $302 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $314 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -23.068 + -86.132 + -21.972 + -125.785 = $-257 Mil.
Interest Expense was -27.559 + -27.245 + -21.863 + -20.091 = $-97 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $2,032 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1126.902 - 301.538)/2605.355
=0.3168

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=314.396/2605.355
=0.1207

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-256.957 - -96.758)/2605.355
=-0.0615

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(573.639 - 0)/2031.716
=0.2823

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Mercer International has a Altman Z2-Score of 2.35 indicating it is in Grey Zones.


Mercer International  (NAS:MERC) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Mercer International Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Mercer International (Mercer International) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
700 West Pender Street, Suite 1120, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6C 1G8
Mercer International Inc is a forest products company with two reportable operating segments in pulp and solid wood. Pulp segment consists of the manufacture, sale and distribution of pulp, electricity and chemicals. Solid wood segment consists of the manufacture, sale and distribution of lumber, manufactured products wood pallets, electricity, biofuels and wood residuals from sawmills and other facilities located in Germany and the United States. The company has its geographical presence in USA, Germany, China and Other countries. Majority of the revenue is generated from the Pulp segment.
Executives
Janine North director SUITE 1120, 700 WEST PENDER STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6C 1G8
Alice Laberge director SUITE 1120, 700 WEST PENDER STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6C 1G8
Torbjoern Loeoef director SUITE 1120-700 WEST PENDER STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6C1G8
Thomas Kevin Corrick director C/O BOISE CASCADE, L.L.C., 1111 W. JEFFERSON ST., STE 300, BOISE ID 83702-5389
Cynthia Margaret Alekson officer: VP, Controller SUITE 1120, 700 WEST PENDER STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6C 1G8
Wolfgang Beck officer: Senior VP,Global Product SUITE 1120, 700 WEST PENDER STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6C 1G8
Carsten Merforth officer: COO, Wood Products SUITE 1120 - 700 WEST PENDER STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6C 1G8
Rainer Rettig director SUITE 1120, 700 WEST PENDER STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6C 1G8
Keith Purchase director SUITE 1120, 700 WEST PENDER STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6C 1G8
Peter R Kellogg 10 percent owner 48 WALL STREET, C/O IAT REINSURANCE CO LTD, NEW YORK NY 10005
Bueno Estrada Juan Carlos officer: Chief Executive Officer & Pres SUITE 1120, 700 WEST PENDER STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6C 1G8
Guy Arguin officer: Chief Human Resources Officer SUITE 1120 - 700 WEST PENDER STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6C 1G8
Eric Xavier Heine officer: VP Sales & Marketing NA & Asia 650 WEST GEORGIA STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6B 4N8
Wolfram Ridder officer: VP of Business Development AM EISENBUHL 7, SELBITZ 2M D-95152
Alan C. Wallace director SUITE 1120, 700 WEST PENDER STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6C 1G8