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Modiv Industrial (Modiv Industrial) Altman Z2-Score : -2.73 (As of Jun. 02, 2024)


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What is Modiv Industrial Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Modiv Industrial has a Altman Z2-Score of -2.73, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Modiv Industrial's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MDV' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.2   Med: -2.16   Max: 1.45
Current: -2.73

During the past 5 years, Modiv Industrial's highest Altman Z2-Score was 1.45. The lowest was -3.20. And the median was -2.16.


Modiv Industrial Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Modiv Industrial's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Modiv Industrial Altman Z2-Score Chart

Modiv Industrial Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
- - 1.45 -1.96 -3.20

Modiv Industrial Quarterly Data
Dec19 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.08 -2.22 -2.97 -3.20 -2.73

Competitive Comparison of Modiv Industrial's Altman Z2-Score

For the REIT - Diversified subindustry, Modiv Industrial's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Modiv Industrial's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Modiv Industrial's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Modiv Industrial's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Modiv Industrial Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Modiv Industrial's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*-0.4193+3.26*-0.2782+6.72*0.0383+1.05*0.6392
=-2.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2024:
Total Assets was $522.46 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $35.26 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $254.34 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-145.34 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 4.637 + -1.842 + -6.905 + 4.63 = $0.52 Mil.
Interest Expense was -4.951 + -4.945 + -4.989 + -4.605 = $-19.49 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $294.13 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(35.264 - 254.336)/522.464
=-0.4193

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-145.342/522.464
=-0.2782

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(0.52 - -19.49)/522.464
=0.0383

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(187.999 - 0.002)/294.127
=0.6392

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Modiv Industrial has a Altman Z2-Score of -2.73 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Modiv Industrial  (NYSE:MDV) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Modiv Industrial Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Modiv Industrial (Modiv Industrial) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
200 S. Virginia Street, Suite 800, Reno, NV, USA, 89501
Modiv Industrial Inc Formerly Modiv Inc is a pioneer in the direct-to-consumer commercial real estate product industry. It provides individual investors access to real estate and real estate-related investments designed to provide both income and long-term growth. The Company has invested in single-tenant income-producing properties. All of the company's consolidated revenues are derived from company's consolidated real estate properties.
Executives
Aaron Scott Halfacre officer: CEO 2100 REXFORD ROAD, SUITE 300, CHARLOTTE NC 28211
Nolan Thomas H Jr director 14631 NORTH SCOTTSDALE RD, SUITE 200, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85254
Kimberly J Smith director 2325 E CAMELBACK RD, SUITE 1100, PHOENIX AZ 85016
Raymond J Pacini officer: CFO 550 SOUTH HOPE STREET, SUITE 2850, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Adam Scott Markman director TWO NORTH RIVERSIDE PLAZA, SUITE 600, CHICAGO IL 60606
Tirondola Connie director 14 DAYDREAM LN, ANDOVER NJ 07821
Asma Ishaq director 120 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Curtis B Mcwilliams director 450 SOUTH ORANGE AVENUE, ORLANDO FL 32801
Group Of Trophy, Llc 10 percent owner 21140 S. AVALON BLVD, CARSON CA 90745
Joe F Hanauer director 361 FOREST AVE, LAGUNA BEACH CA 92651
Sandra G Sciutto officer: CAO 6 EXECUTIVE CIRCLE, SUITE 250, IRVINE CA 92614
David Perduk officer: CIO PO BOX 1705, LAGUNA BEACH CA 92652
John Harold Davis officer: CFO 3090 BRISTOL STREET, SUITE 550, COSTA MESA CA 92626
Jeffrey Randolph other: Trust Manager 3080 BRISTOL STREET, SUITE 550, COSTA MESA CA 92626
John C Wang director