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China Qidian Guofeng Holdings (HKSE:01280) Altman Z2-Score : -23.86 (As of May. 28, 2024)


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What is China Qidian Guofeng Holdings Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

China Qidian Guofeng Holdings has a Altman Z2-Score of -23.86, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Qidian Guofeng Holdings's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01280' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -42.53   Med: -4.81   Max: 0.91
Current: -23.86

During the past 13 years, China Qidian Guofeng Holdings's highest Altman Z2-Score was 0.91. The lowest was -42.53. And the median was -4.81.


China Qidian Guofeng Holdings Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Qidian Guofeng Holdings's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Qidian Guofeng Holdings Altman Z2-Score Chart

China Qidian Guofeng Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -7.54 -3.60 -6.02 -42.53 -23.86

China Qidian Guofeng Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -6.02 - -42.53 - -23.86

Competitive Comparison of China Qidian Guofeng Holdings's Altman Z2-Score

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, China Qidian Guofeng Holdings's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Qidian Guofeng Holdings's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, China Qidian Guofeng Holdings's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Qidian Guofeng Holdings's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



China Qidian Guofeng Holdings Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

China Qidian Guofeng Holdings's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.0655+3.26*-7.7487+6.72*0.2365+1.05*-0.5929
=-23.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was HK$343.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$292.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$270.1 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$-2,658.4 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was HK$58.8 Mil.
Interest Expense was HK$-22.3 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$798.2 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(292.592 - 270.134)/343.077
=0.0655

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-2658.399/343.077
=-7.7487

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(58.833 - -22.298)/343.077
=0.2365

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(-473.221 - 0)/798.2
=-0.5929

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

China Qidian Guofeng Holdings has a Altman Z2-Score of -23.86 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


China Qidian Guofeng Holdings  (HKSE:01280) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


China Qidian Guofeng Holdings Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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China Qidian Guofeng Holdings (HKSE:01280) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 539 Wenchang Zhong Road, 6th Floor, Huiyin Building, Jiangsu Province, Yangzhou, CHN
China Qidian Guofeng Holdings Ltd Formerly Qidian International Co Ltd is an investment holding company. It is engaged in the retail of household appliances, mobile phones, computers, imported and general merchandise, and the provision of maintenance and installation services for household appliances in the PRC. The operating segments of the group are Traditional business; New retail business and All other segments. Its Traditional business includes the results from sales of household appliances, mobile phones, and computers. New retail business includes the results from sales of imported and general merchandise. All other segments include the results from rendering maintenance and installation services. The company generates prime revenue from the Traditional business segment.
Executives
Yuan Li 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Xiang Gang Rui Hong Yi Xing Guo Ji You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Ou Pu Shan Wei Guo Ji Kong Gu You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Sheng Xing Guo Ji Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Sun Yan 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shan Weiwei 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Mogen Ltd. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Liu Yang 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Ya Yue Long Te You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Chen Bo 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Xiang Gang Teng Chuang De Xin Guo Ji You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Boce (hong Kong) Co., Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Zhong Qing Sheng Shang Xin Xi Ke Ji You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Tian Jin Bo Hai Shang Pin Jiao Yi Suo Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Bao Shi Tian Jin Dian Zi Shang Wu You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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