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Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co (SHSE:600048) Free Cash Flow : ¥-6,308 Mil (TTM As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Free Cash Flow?

Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co's total free cash flow for the months ended in Mar. 2024 was ¥-34,249 Mil. Its total free cash flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2024 was ¥-6,308 Mil.

Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co's Free Cash Flow per Share for the months ended in Mar. 2024 was ¥-2.93. Its free cash flow per share for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2024 was ¥-0.61.

During the past 12 months, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate of Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co was -122.40% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was -2.30% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was -12.00% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate using Free Cash Flow per Share data.

During the past 13 years, Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co's highest 3-Year average Free Cash Flow per Share Growth Rate was 80.20% per year. The lowest was -43.10% per year. And the median was -6.65% per year.


Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Free Cash Flow Historical Data

The historical data trend for Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co's Free Cash Flow can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Free Cash Flow Chart

Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Free Cash Flow
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 38,876.20 14,758.42 10,279.59 7,236.19 13,750.68

Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Free Cash Flow Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -14,189.73 21,273.64 -365.43 7,032.21 -34,248.56

Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Free Cash Flow Calculation

Free Cash Flow is considered one of the most important parameters to measure a company's earnings power by value investors because it is not subject to estimates of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization (DDA). However, when we look at the Free Cash Flow, we should look from a long term perspective, because any year's Free Cash Flow can be drastically affected by the spending on Property, Plant, & Equipment (PPE) of the business in that year. Over the long term, Free Cash Flow should give pretty good picture on the real earnings power of the company.

Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co's Free Cash Flow for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as

Free Cash Flow (A: Dec. 2023 )=Cash Flow from Operations+Capital Expenditure
=13930.008+-179.325
=13,751

Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co's Free Cash Flow for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as

Free Cash Flow (Q: Mar. 2024 )=Cash Flow from Operations+Capital Expenditure
=-33305.868+-942.694
=-34,249

Free Cash Flow for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2024 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was ¥-6,308 Mil.

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co  (SHSE:600048) Free Cash Flow Explanation

Free Cash Flow is very close to Warren Buffett's definition of Owner's Earnings, except that in Warren Buffett's Owner's Earnings, the spending for Property, Plant, and Equipment is only for maintenance (replacement), while in the Free Cash Flow calculation, the cost of new Property, Plant, and Equipment due to business expansion is also deducted. There, Free Cash Flow is more conservative than Owner's Earnings.

In Don Yacktman's calculation of forward rate of return, he uses Free Cash Flow for the calculation. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation.

This is what Yacktman said in his March 2012 interview - when the S&P 500 was at 1400:

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over seven years. The reason we use seven years is because research shows that seven years is the length of the typical business cycle.

Therefore, as of Mar24, Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % (Mar24)=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.78114286/9.13+-0.0684
=1.72 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Be Aware

Free Cash Flow within a report period can be affected by management's decisions of capital spending. Therefore, it is important to look at long term when it comes to Free Cash Flow.


Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Free Cash Flow Related Terms

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Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co (SHSE:600048) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 688 Yuejiang Middle Road, Poly International Square North Tower, 30-33 Layer, Haizhu District, Guangdong Province, Guangzhou, CHN, 510308
Poly Developments and Holdings is a large real estate developer in China. It is ranked number five by sales value among all Chinese developers in 2019. It has over 600 projects across 100 cities. Property development accounts for 95% of earnings, with property investments and finance income contributing the rest. The company is a subsidiary of China Poly Group, a prominent central-government-controlled state-owned enterprise with ties to the military. China Poly Group holds an aggregate controlling stake of 41% in the company.
Executives
Zhou Dong Li Directors, senior managers
Huang Hai senior management
Zhang Yan Hua senior management
Liu Wen Sheng senior management
Kong Jun Feng Supervisors
Pan Zhi Hua senior management
Liu Ying Chuan senior management
Zhang Wei senior management
Liu Ping Director
Wang Quan Liang senior management
Hu Zai Xin senior management
Zhang Wan Shun Director
Chen Dong Ju senior management
Wang Jian senior management
Song Guang Ju Director

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