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Scheid Vineyards (Scheid Vineyards) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 0.00% (As of Feb. 2020)


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What is Scheid Vineyards Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Scheid Vineyards's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Scheid Vineyards's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

SVIN' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -153.54   Med: -6.53   Max: 9.25
Current: -153.54

During the past 13 years, Scheid Vineyards's highest Forward Rate of Return was 9.25. The lowest was -153.54. And the median was -6.53.

SVIN's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
100% of 161 companies
in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 8.53 vs SVIN: -153.54

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Scheid Vineyards Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Scheid Vineyards's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Scheid Vineyards Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Scheid Vineyards Annual Data
Trend Dec02 Dec03 Dec04 Dec05 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -7.43 0.55 -4.86 -47.67 -

Scheid Vineyards Semi-Annual Data
Dec02 Jun03 Dec03 Jun04 Dec04 Jun05 Dec05 Feb15 Feb16 Aug16 Feb17 Aug17 Feb18 Aug18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Aug22 Aug23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Scheid Vineyards's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Scheid Vineyards's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Scheid Vineyards's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Scheid Vineyards's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Scheid Vineyards's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Scheid Vineyards Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Scheid Vineyards's Forward Rate of Return of Feb. 2020 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=-9.71783333/29.5+-0.3575
=-68.69 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Scheid Vineyards  (OTCPK:SVIN) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Scheid Vineyards Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Scheid Vineyards's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Scheid Vineyards (Scheid Vineyards) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
305 Hilltown Road, Salinas, CA, USA, 93908
Scheid Vineyards Inc is engaged in the manufacturing of premium varietal wine grapes and wine in the United States. The principal business of the company is the production of premium varietal wine grapes and wine, the operation of a custom crush winery facility, and the sale of bottled wine through wholesalers and directly to consumers. It currently operates premium wine grape vineyards in Monterey County, California.
Executives
Keith Krum director 305 HILLTOWN ROAD, SALINAS CA 93908
Advisory Research Inc 10 percent owner 180 N. STETSON AVENUE, SUITE 5500, CHICAGO IL 60601
Advisory Research Microcap Value Fund, L.p. 10 percent owner 180 NORTH STETSON AVENUE, SUITE 5500, CHICAGO IL 60601
Scott D Scheid director, officer: President, CEO C/O SCHEID VINEYARDS, 305 HILLTOWN RD, SALINAS CA 93908
Heidi M Scheid director, officer: Senior Vice President C/O SCHEID VINEYARDS INC, 305 HILLTOWN RD, SALINAS CA 93908
Kurt J Golnick officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O SCHEID VINEYARDS, 305 HILLTOWN RD, SALINAS CA 93908
Alfred G Scheid director, 10 percent owner C/O SCHEID VINEYARDS, 305 HILLTOWN RD, SALINAS CA 93908

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