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Luna Innovations (Luna Innovations) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : -3.40% (As of Sep. 2023)


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What is Luna Innovations Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Luna Innovations's forward rate of return for was -3.40%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Luna Innovations's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

LUNA' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -8.07   Med: -3.16   Max: 20.01
Current: -4.7

During the past 13 years, Luna Innovations's highest Forward Rate of Return was 20.01. The lowest was -8.07. And the median was -3.16.

LUNA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
72.97% of 1613 companies
in the Hardware industry
Industry Median: 8.78 vs LUNA: -4.70

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Luna Innovations Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Luna Innovations's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Luna Innovations Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Luna Innovations Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 9.38 3.60

Luna Innovations Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.76 3.60 1.92 1.11 -3.40

Competitive Comparison of Luna Innovations's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Scientific & Technical Instruments subindustry, Luna Innovations's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Luna Innovations's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Luna Innovations's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Luna Innovations's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Luna Innovations Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Luna Innovations's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=-0.0832381/5.86+-0.0198
=-3.40 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Luna Innovations  (NAS:LUNA) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Luna Innovations Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Luna Innovations's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Luna Innovations (Luna Innovations) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
301 1st Street South West, Suite 200, Roanoke, VA, USA, 24011
Luna Innovations Inc is engaged in optical technology, providing high-performance fiber optic test, measurement, and control products for the telecommunications, and photonics industries, and distributed fiber optic sensing solutions that measure and monitor materials and structures for applications in aerospace, automotive, oil, and gas, security, and infrastructure. Its Lightwave segment develops, manufactures, and markets optical measurements technologies like Sensing including short, medium, and long-range distributed fiber optic sensing solutions and Terahertz measurement products, and Communications test and photonic control including test equipment for communications devices and networks and specialty laser and photonic components. It derives a majority of its revenue from the U.S.
Executives
George Gomez-quintero officer: Chief Financial Officer LUNA INNOVATIONS INCORPORATED, 301 FIRST STREET SW, SUITE 200, ROANOKE VA 24011
Pamela L Coe director C/O EXPEDIA, INC., 333 108TH AVENUE NE, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Brian Soller officer: Chief Operating Officer 301 1ST STREET, SW, SUITE 200, ROANOKE VA 24011
Gene Nestro officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O LUNA INNOVATIONS, INC., 301 1ST STREET, SW, SUITE 200, ROANOKE VA 24011
Clinic Carilion 10 percent owner EDWARD MURPHY, M.D., 213 SOUTH JEFFERSON STREET, SUITE 807, ROANOKE VA 24011
Mary Beth Vitale director 821 17TH STREET, DENVER CO 80202
Dale E Messick officer: Chief Financial Officer LUNA INNOVATIONS INCORPORATED, 2851 COMMERCE STREET, BLACKSBURG VA 24060
Scott A Graeff officer: CFO, Executive VP Corp. Dev. LUNA INNOVATIONS INCORPORATED, 2851 COMMERCE STREET, BLACKSBURG VA 24060
Barry Phelps director 26750 AGOURA RD, CALABASAS CA 91302
Michael W. Wise director C/O LUNA INNOVATIONS INCORPORATED, 1 RIVERSIDE CIRCLE, SUITE 400, ROANOKE VA 24016
Richard Roedel director 164 WEST RD, NEW CANAAN CT 06840
Donald Pastor director 2925 BOARDWALK, ANN ARBOR MI 48104
Gary Spiegel director
Coringrato Edward J Jr. director 301 1ST STREET, SW, SUITE 200, ROANOKE VA 24011
Wilkin Neil D Jr director