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AB Dynamics (LSE:ABDP) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 16.35% (As of Aug. 2023)


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What is AB Dynamics Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. AB Dynamics's forward rate of return for was 16.35%.

The historical rank and industry rank for AB Dynamics's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:ABDP' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.34   Med: 16.26   Max: 21.78
Current: 16.28

During the past 13 years, AB Dynamics's highest Forward Rate of Return was 21.78. The lowest was 0.34. And the median was 16.26.

LSE:ABDP's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
71.02% of 942 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 6.285 vs LSE:ABDP: 16.28

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


AB Dynamics Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for AB Dynamics's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AB Dynamics Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

AB Dynamics Annual Data
Trend Aug14 Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 20.24 20.25 15.44 16.45 16.35

AB Dynamics Semi-Annual Data
Aug14 Feb15 Aug15 Feb16 Aug16 Feb17 Aug17 Feb18 Aug18 Feb19 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23 Feb24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 16.45 - 16.35 -

Competitive Comparison of AB Dynamics's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Auto Parts subindustry, AB Dynamics's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AB Dynamics's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, AB Dynamics's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AB Dynamics's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



AB Dynamics Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

AB Dynamics's Forward Rate of Return of Aug. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.33116667/17.6+0.1447
=16.35 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


AB Dynamics  (LSE:ABDP) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


AB Dynamics Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of AB Dynamics's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


AB Dynamics (LSE:ABDP) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Middleton Drive, Bradford on Avon, Wiltshire, GBR, BA15 1GB
AB Dynamics PLC supplies measurement and testing equipment to the automotive industry. The principal activity of the Group is the design, manufacture, and supply of testing, simulation and measurement products for the global transport market. The Group derives the majority of revenue from Laboratory testing and simulation and includes Track testing. Geographically, key revenue is generated from Asia Pacific that includes the United Kingdom, the Rest of European, North America, and the Rest of the World.

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