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Tern Properties Co (HKSE:00277) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 0.00% (As of Mar. 2023)


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What is Tern Properties Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Tern Properties Co's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tern Properties Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00277' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -6.37   Med: 1.96   Max: 2.69
Current: -1.58

During the past 13 years, Tern Properties Co's highest Forward Rate of Return was 2.69. The lowest was -6.37. And the median was 1.96.

HKSE:00277's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked
in the Real Estate industry.
Industry Median: 5.07 vs HKSE:00277: -1.58

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Tern Properties Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tern Properties Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tern Properties Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Tern Properties Co Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
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Tern Properties Co Semi-Annual Data
Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23
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Competitive Comparison of Tern Properties Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Tern Properties Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tern Properties Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Tern Properties Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tern Properties Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Tern Properties Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Tern Properties Co's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.14083333/3.8+-0.088
=-5.09 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Tern Properties Co  (HKSE:00277) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Tern Properties Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Tern Properties Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Tern Properties Co (HKSE:00277) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
237 Queen's Road Central, 26th Floor, Tern Centre, Tower I, Hong Kong, HKG
Tern Properties Co Ltd is a Hong Kong-based company involved in the Property investment business where the company buys, sells, and leases properties as well as in the Treasury investment business where the company is engaged in investing in debt and equity securities. Geographically, the group principally operates in Hong Kong. The company derives key income from the Property investment business.
Executives
Beyers Investments Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Noranger Company Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Chan Hoi Sow 2305 Beneficiary of a trust
Chan Loo Kuo Pin 2202 Interest of your spouse
Chan Yan Tin Andrew 2305 Beneficiary of a trust
Chan Yan Lam Alan 2305 Beneficiary of a trust
Chan Yan Wai Emily 2305 Beneficiary of a trust
Chan Yan Mei Mary-ellen
Credit Suisse Trust Limited 2301 Trustee
Global Heritage Group Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Smartprint Development Limited
Evergrade Investments Limited
Builtwin Ltd. 2101 Beneficial owner
Hon Nicholas 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

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