PCB Bancorp (PCB Bancorp) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2018. Start your Free Trial

What is PCB Bancorp Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

PCB Bancorp Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

PCB Bancorp Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of PCB Bancorp's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

PCB Bancorp (PCB Bancorp) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » PCB Bancorp (NAS:PCB) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

3701 Wilshire Boulevard, Suite 900, Los Angeles, CA, USA, 90010

Website

https://www.paccitybank.com

PCB Bancorp is a bank holding company, which engages in the provision of consumer and commercial banking services. The bank provides personal and business checking accounts and savings accounts services. It offers a broad range of loan, deposit, and other products and services. Also, it provides a broad range of loans along with deposit products focused on individuals, professionals, and small-to-medium sized businesses. The bank's E-banking services comprise online banking, mobile banking, and cash management.

Executives

Sang Young Lee	director	3701 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 900, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
Mimi Lee	officer: See Remarks	3701 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 900, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
Haeyoung Cho	director	3701 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 900, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
Sarah Jun	other: Director of Subsidiary	3701 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 900, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
Justin Chon	officer: See Remarks	3701 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 900, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
David W. Kim	officer: EVP & CHIEF BANKING OFFICER	3701 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD., SUITE 900, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
Janice Chung	director	3701 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 900, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
Daniel Cho	other: Director of Subsidiary	3701 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 900, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
Michael A. Kwon	officer: SVP & CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER	3701 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 900, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
Henry Kim	director, officer: President, CEO and Director	3701 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 900, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
Don Rhee	director	3701 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 900, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
John Ju	officer: See Remarks	3701 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 900, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
Suk Won Youn	director	3701 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 900, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
Kwang Jin Chung	director	3701 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 900, LOS ANGELES CA 90010
Hong Kyun Park	director	3701 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 900, LOS ANGELES CA 90010