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ZKGC New Energy (ZKGC New Energy) Predictability Rank


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What is ZKGC New Energy Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

ZKGC New Energy Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

ZKGC New Energy Predictability Rank Related Terms

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ZKGC New Energy (ZKGC New Energy) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » ZKGC New Energy Ltd (OTCPK:ZKGCF) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
BNED FVTI TLF CONN JOAN PTZH LNBY FTEL TCS NVVE ORLY TSX:ATD AZO SHSE:601888 TSCO ULTA GPC BBY ADX:ADNOCDIST CASY
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
12 Xinxiangdi Jiari, Chengmai County, Hainan Province, Laocheng Town, Laocheng, CHN, 571924
Website
ZKGC New Energy Ltd is a builder, owner, operator, and manager of electric vehicle (EV) charging stations and a provider of EV charging equipment and networked EV charging services. The company offers residential and commercial EV charging equipment, enabling EV drivers to recharge at various location types. Its line of products and services is its Charging Cloud SAAS Platform, EV charging equipment, and EV charging services. The SAAS network provides property owners, managers, parking companies, and state and municipal entities with cloud-based services that enable the remote monitoring and management of EV charging stations. The SAAS network also provides EV drivers with vital station information, including station location, availability and fee payment.
Executives
Zhuowei Zhong 10 percent owner 5 JUMEI BIG STREET, XIAOLAN TOWN, ZHONGSHAN CITY, GUANGDONG PROVINCE F4 528415
Zhifei Huang director, officer: Chief Financial Officer 3 FIVE ALLEY, DITANGKOU, PINGWANGGANGXIE, DATANG TOWN, SANSHUI DISTRICT, FOSHAN, GUANGDONG PROVINCE F4 528143
Zhuowen Chen director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 401 BUILDING 23, JIANGPAN NEW RESIDENTIAL QUARTERS, ZHONGSHAN CITY, GUANGDONG PROV F4 528401
Zonghan Wu director, officer: Secretary 46 REEVES ROAD, PAKURANGA, AUCKLAND Q2 2140
Jinqi Liao 10 percent owner 12 XINXIANGDI JIARI, LAOCHENG TOWN, CHENGMAI COUNTY, HAINAN PROVINCE F4 571924

ZKGC New Energy (ZKGC New Energy) Headlines

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