Wolverine World Wide (Wolverine World Wide) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 1969. Start your Free Trial

What is Wolverine World Wide Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Wolverine World Wide Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Wolverine World Wide Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Wolverine World Wide's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Wolverine World Wide (Wolverine World Wide) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories » Wolverine World Wide Inc (NYSE:WWW) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

WW4:Germany

Address

9341 Courtland Drive N.E., Rockford, MI, USA, 49351

Website

https://www.wolverineworldwide.com

Wolverine World Wide Inc is engaged in designing, manufacturing, sourcing, marketing, licensing, and distributing branded footwear, apparel, and accessories. The company's segment includes Active Group; Work Group; Lifestyle Group and Other. It generates maximum revenue from the Active Group segment. Active Group segment consists of Merrell footwear and apparel, Saucony footwear and apparel, Sweaty Betty activewear, and Chaco footwear.

Executives

Amy M. Klimek	officer: EVP, Global Human Resources	9341 COURTLAND DRIVE NE, ROCKFORD MI 49351
Jeffrey M Boromisa	director
Michael D Stornant	officer: EVP, CFO and Treasurer	C/O 9341 COURTLAND DRIVE NE, ROCKFORD MI 49351
Brenda J Lauderback	director	IRWIN FINANCIAL CORPORATION, 500 WASHINGTON STREET, COLUMBUS IN 47201
Jodi Bricker	director	C/O 9341 COURTLAND DRIVE NE, ROCKFORD MI 49351
Demonty Price	director	C/O RESTORATION HARDWARE HOLDINGS, INC., 15 KOCH ROAD, SUITE K, CORTE MADERA CA 94925
Andersen Stacia J.p.	director	6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Kathleen Wilson-thompson	director	PO BOX 3599, BATTLE CREEK MI 49016-3599
Christopher Hufnagel	officer: President, Active Group	9341 COURTLAND DRIVE, ROCKFORD MI 49351
Nicholas T. Long	director	C/O 9341 COURTLAND DRIVE NE, ROCKFORD MI 49351
Reginald Rasch	officer: Sr. VP, Gen'l Counsel & Sec'y	80 GRASSLANDS ROAD, ELMSFORD NY 10523
Brendan Hoffman	director, officer: President	100 PIER 1 PLACE, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Isabel Soriano	officer: President, International	C/O 9341 COURTLAND DRIVE NE, ROCKFORD MI 49351
David T Kollat	director	9341 COURTLAND DR, ROCKFORD MI 49351
William K Gerber	director	999 WEST BIG BEAVER ROAD, TROY MI 48084