Vor Biopharma (Vor Biopharma) Predictability Rank

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What is Vor Biopharma Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Vor Biopharma Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Vor Biopharma (Vor Biopharma) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Vor Biopharma Inc (NAS:VOR) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

100 Cambridgepark Drive, Suite 101, Cambridge, MA, USA, 02140

Website

https://www.vorbio.com

Vor Biopharma Inc is a clinical stage cell therapy company. It combines a novel patient engineering approach with targeted therapies to provide a solution for patients suffering from hematological malignancies. The company's products include VOR33.

Executives

Eyal C. Attar	officer: Chief Medical Officer	535 BOYLSTON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
5am Ventures Vi, L.p.	10 percent owner	501 2ND STREET, SUITE 350, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Kush Parmar	director, 10 percent owner	C/O 5AM VENTURES, 501 2ND STREET, SUITE 350, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Ra Capital Healthcare Fund Lp	director, 10 percent owner	200 BERKELEY STREET, 18TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Nathan D. Jorgensen	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O VOR BIOPHARMA INC., 100 CAMBRIDGEPARK DRIVE, SUITE 400, CAMBRIDGE MA 02140
Christopher Slapak	officer: Chief Medical Officer	C/O VOR BIOPHARMA INC., 100 CAMBRIDGEPARK DRIVE, SUITE 400, CAMBRIDGE MA 02140
Sadik Kassim	officer: Chief Technology Officer	C/O VOR BIOPHARMA INC., 100 CAMBRIDGEPARK DRIVE, SUITE 400, CAMBRIDGE MA 02140
Tirtha Chakraborty	officer: Chief Scientific Officer	C/O VOR BIOPHARMA INC., 100 CAMBRIDGEPARK DRIVE, SUITE 400, CAMBRIDGE MA 02140
Robert Ang	director, officer: President and CEO	C/O NEON THERAPEUTICS, 40 ERIE STREET, SUITE 110, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
5am Partners Vi, Llc	10 percent owner	501 2ND STREET, SUITE 350, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
David Charles Lubner	director	C/O TETRAPHASE PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 480 ARSENAL STREET, SUITE 110, WATERTOWN MA 02472
Puretech Health Llc	10 percent owner	501 BOYLSTON STREET, SUITE 6102, BOSTON MA 02116
Daniella Beckman	director	C/O IDENIX PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., ONE KENDALL SQUARE, BLDG. 1400, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
5am Opportunities I (gp), Llc	10 percent owner	501 2ND STREET, SUITE 350, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
5am Opportunities I, L.p.	10 percent owner	501 SECOND STREET, SUITE 350, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107