What is Meridian Bioscience Predictability Rank?
Not Rated
Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:
1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.
It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.
GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.
Meridian Bioscience Predictability Rank Calculation
In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.
Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:
Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.
The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.
Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns
| Predictables | Non-Predictable | All stocks |
|---|
| Total Number of stocks | 570 | 1833 | 2403 |
| Total Lost Money | 61 | 830 | 891 |
| Total Lost More Than 50% | 18 | 412 | 430 |
| Total Lost More Than 90% | 4 | 86 | 90 |
| Average Gain | 260.6% | 100.0% | 138.1% |
| Median Gain | 150.0% | 13.0% | 39.0% |
| Maximum Gain | 2852.0% | 11483.0% | 11483.0% |
| Maximum Loss | -100.0% | -100.0% | -100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain | 12.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain | 8.9% | 1.1% | 3.1% |
For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.
| Predictability Rank | 5-Star | 4.5-Star | 4-Star | 3.5-Star | 3-Star | 2.5-Star | 2-Star | 1-Star (non-predictable) | Average among all |
|---|
| % Out of All 2403 Stocks |
3.3% |
2.9% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
3.3% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
76.3% |
100% |
| % that are in Loss (10y) |
3% |
10% |
8% |
9% |
11% |
18% |
16% |
45% |
37% |
| Average Gain (10y) |
364.6% |
330.9% |
278.0% |
235.1% |
243.5% |
227.8% |
154.8% |
100.0% |
138.1% |
| Median Gain (10y) |
238.5% |
193.5% |
171.0% |
159.0% |
132.5% |
113.5% |
87.0% |
13.0% |
39.0% |
| Maximum Gainer |
2228.0% |
2547.0% |
2452.0% |
2852.0% |
2432.0% |
1892.0% |
1807.0% |
11483.0% |
11483.0% |
| Maximum Loser |
-82.0% |
-53.0% |
-67.0% |
-100.0% |
-83.0% |
-100.0% |
-78.0% |
-100.0% |
-100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain |
15.4% |
14.6% |
13.2% |
12.0% |
12.2% |
11.7% |
9.1% |
6.7% |
8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain |
12.1% |
10.6% |
9.8% |
9.3% |
8.2% |
7.3% |
6.0% |
1.1% |
3.1% |
For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank
Also read:
Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety
Meridian Bioscience (Meridian Bioscience) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3471 River Hills Drive, Cincinnati, OH, USA, 45244
Meridian Bioscience Inc is an integrated life science company. It develops and distributes diagnostic tests and reagents, as well as biologic substances used by pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies. Its Diagnostics segment manufactures tests primarily for gastrointestinal, viral, respiratory, & parasitic infectious diseases. Its testing platforms include isothermal DNA amplification, rapid immunoassays, and enzyme-linked immunoassays. The Life sciences segment sells b-antigens, antibodies, and reagents in bulk to other diagnostic manufacturers, the agriculture industry, and researchers. It also manufactures proteins that biopharmaceutical companies use in new drugs and vaccines. The entity has a business presence in the US and other countries.
Executives
| Julie Diana Smith |
officer: Sr VP, Controller, PAO |
3471 RIVER HILLS DRIVE, CINCINNATI OH 45244 |
| John P. Kenny |
director, officer: Chief Executive Officer |
3471 RIVER HILLS DRIVE, CINCINNATI OH 45244 |
| Andrew S. Kitzmiller |
officer: EVP & CFO |
ONE BATESVILLE BLVD., BATESVILLE IN 47006 |
| Bryan T Baldasare |
officer: Interim CFO & Chief Acctg Off |
3471 RIVER HILLS DRIVE, CINCINNATI OH 45244 |
| Rice John Mccune Jr. |
director |
3471 RIVER HILLS DRIVE, CINCINNATI OH 45244 |
| Bihl Anthony P Iii |
director |
807 SMITH RIDGE ROAD, NEW CANAAN CT 06840 |
| Tony Serafini-lamanna |
officer: Executive VP-Diagnostics |
3471 RIVER HILLS DRIVE, CINCINNATI OH 45244 |
| Felicia Williams |
director |
C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001 |
| John Mcilwraith |
director |
3471 RIVER HILLS DRIVE, CINCINNATI OH 45244 |
| David Phillips |
director |
3471 RIVER HILLS DRIVE, CINCINNATI OH 45244 |
| James M. Anderson |
director |
3471 RIVER HILLS DRIVE, CINCINNATI OH 45244 |
| Dwight E Ellingwood |
director |
3471 RIVER HILLS DRIVE, CINCINNATI OH 45244 |
| Lawrence Baldini |
officer: Exec VP, Operations & IS |
3471 RIVER HILLS DRIVE, CINCINNATI OH 45244 |
| Eric S. Rasmussen |
officer: EVP, Bus. Development/Strategy |
3471 RIVER HILLS DRIVE, CINCINNATI OH 45244 |
| Lourdes Weltzien |
officer: EVP, Life Science |
3471 RIVER HILLS DRIVE, CINCINNATI OH 45244 |
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
Portfolio Contest
VIVO has been successfully added to your