Veritone (Veritone) Predictability Rank

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What is Veritone Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Veritone Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Veritone (Veritone) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Veritone Inc (NAS:VERI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

VEK:Germany

Address

2420 17th Street, Office 3002, Denver, CO, USA, 80202

Website

https://www.veritone.com

Veritone Inc is a provider of artificial intelligence (AI) computing solutions and services. The company generates revenue through the delivery of its 1) Software Products and Services which consists of revenues generated from Commercial Enterprise and Government and Regulated Industries customers using the company's aiWARE platform and hiring solutions, any related support and maintenance services, and any related professional services associated with the deployment and/or implementation of such solutions, 2) Managed Services which consist of revenues generated from Commercial Enterprise customers using company's content licensing services, advertising agency, influencer management and related services. The company has a presence in the United States and Israel.

Executives

Ryan Steelberg	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President	3366 VIA LIDO, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92663
Michael Zilis	director	C/O INGRAM MICRO INC., 1600 E. ST. ANDREW PLACE, SANTA ANA CA 92705
Graziadio G Louis Iii	director	149 PALOS VERDES BLVD., SUITE G, REDONDO BEACH CA 90277
Jeff Patrick Gehl	director	3366 VIA LIDO, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92663
Richard H Taketa	director	7979 IVANHOE AVENUE, SUITE 500, LA JOLLA CA 92037
Knute P. Kurtz	director	1253 SANTA BARABARA DRIVE, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Nayaki R Nayyar	director	C/O VERITONE, INC., 575 ANTON BOULEVARD, SUITE 100, COSTA MESA CA 92626
Michael Leonard Zemetra	officer: EVP, CFO & Treasurer	5264 CALATRANA DRIVE, WOODLAND HILLS CA 91364
Chad Steelberg	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO and Chairman of the Board	3366 VIA LIDO, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92663
Acacia Research Corp	10 percent owner	767 3RD AVENUE, 6TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Paul A Krieger	director	C/O VERITONE, INC., 575 ANTON BOULEVARD, SUITE 100, COSTA MESA CA 92626
Peter F Collins	officer: Senior VP and CFO	C/O VERITONE, INC., 575 ANTON BOULEVARD, COSTA MESA CA 92626
Ganley John A Jr	officer: EVP, Human Resources	575 ANTON BOULEVARD, COSTA MESA CA 92626
Walsh Frank E. Iii	director	330 SOUTH STREET, SUITE 4, MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Edward Joseph Treska	director	520 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, 12TH FLOOR, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660