Thoughtworks Holding (Thoughtworks Holding) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2021. Start your Free Trial

What is Thoughtworks Holding Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Thoughtworks Holding Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Thoughtworks Holding Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Thoughtworks Holding's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Thoughtworks Holding (Thoughtworks Holding) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Thoughtworks Holding Inc (NAS:TWKS) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

7W8:Germany

Address

200 East Randolph Street, 25th Floor, Chicago, IL, USA, 60601

Website

https://www.thoughtworks.com

Thoughtworks Holding Inc is a global technology consultancy that integrates strategy, design and software engineering to enable enterprises and technology disruptors across the globe to thrive as modern digital businesses. Its global service lines include Enterprise Modernization, Platforms and Cloud; Customer Experience, Product and Design; Data and Artificial Intelligence (AI), and Digital Transformation and Operations. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from North America and also has a presence in APAC; Europe, and LATAM.

Executives

Joanna Parke	officer: Chief Talent Officer	C/O TURING HOLDING CORP., 200 EAST RANDOLPH STREET, 25TH FLOOR, CHICAGO IL 60601
Sudhir Tiwari	officer: See Remarks	300 EAST RANDOLPH STREET, 25TH FLOOR, CHICAGO IL 60601
Erin Cummins	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O TURING HOLDING CORP., 200 EAST RANDOLPH STREET, 25TH FLOOR, CHICAGO IL 60601
Guo Xiao	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O TURING HOLDING CORP., 200 EAST RANDOLPH STREET, 25TH FLOOR, CHICAGO IL 60601
Ian Davis	director	JOHNSON & JOHNSON, ONE JOHNSON & JOHNSON PLAZA, NEW BRUNSWICK NJ 08933
Christopher Gerard Murphy	officer: See Remarks	C/O TURING HOLDING CORP., 200 EAST RANDOLPH STREET, 25TH FLOOR, CHICAGO IL 60601
Sai Krishna Mandapaty	officer: Chief Commercial Officer	C/O TURING HOLDING CORP., 200 EAST RANDOLPH STREET, 25TH FLOOR, CHICAGO IL 60601
Julie Woods-moss	officer: Chief Marketing Officer	C/O TURING HOLDING CORP., 200 EAST RANDOLPH STREET, 25TH FLOOR, CHICAGO IL 60601
Angela Ferguson	officer: Chief Transformation Officer	C/O TURING HOLDING CORP., 200 EAST RANDOLPH STREET, 25TH FLOOR, CHICAGO IL 60601
William G Parrett	director	THE BLACKSTONE GROUP L.P., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Ramona Mateiu	officer: See Remarks	C/O TURING HOLDING CORP., 200 EAST RANDOLPH STREET, 25TH FLOOR, CHICAGO IL 60601
Chad-affonso Wathington	officer: Chief Strategy Officer	C/O TURING HOLDING CORP., 200 EAST RANDOLPH STREET, 25TH FLOOR, CHICAGO IL 60601
Rebecca J Parsons	officer: Chief Technology Officer	C/O TURING HOLDING CORP., 200 EAST RANDOLPH STREET, 25TH FLOOR, CHICAGO IL 60601
Rohan Haldea	director	C/O TURING HOLDING CORP., 200 EAST RANDOLPH STREET, 25TH FLOOR, CHICAGO IL 60601
Turing Gp Co. Ltd	10 percent owner	200 EAST RANDOLPH STREET, 25TH FLOOR, CHICAGO IL 60601