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Stereotaxis (Stereotaxis) Predictability Rank


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What is Stereotaxis Predictability Rank?

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Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Stereotaxis Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Stereotaxis Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Stereotaxis's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Stereotaxis (Stereotaxis) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
710 North Tucker Boulevard, Suite 110, St. Louis, MO, USA, 63101
Stereotaxis Inc is engaged in robotic technologies designed to enhance the treatment of arrhythmias and perform endovascular procedures. The company's mission is the discovery, development, and delivery of robotic systems, instruments, and information solutions for the interventional laboratory. These innovations help physicians provide patient care with robotic precision and safety, improved lab efficiency and productivity, and enhanced integration of procedural information. The company's revenue generation is derived from the streams of Systems; Disposables, Royalty; and Sublease, of which a majority of revenue is generated from the Disposables, service and accessories stream. The company generates the majority of revenue from the United States.
Executives
Paul J Isaac 10 percent owner 530 FIFTH AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Myriam Curet director 1020 KIFER ROAD, SUNNYVALE CA 94086
David Benfer director 5 SELDEN AVENUE, BRANFORD CT 06404
Kimberly R. Peery officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O STEREOTAXIS, INC., 4320 FOREST PARK AVENUE: SUITE 100, ST. LOUIS MO 63108
Kevin M. Barry officer: Chief Legal Officer & Secretar 4320 FOREST PARK AVENUE, 100, ST. LOUIS MO 63108
Ross B Levin director 530 FIFTH AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Fariba Fischel Ghodsian 10 percent owner 10990 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 1400, LOS ANGELES CA 90024
Dafna Capital Management Llc 10 percent owner 10990 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 1400, LOS ANGELES CA 90024
David Leo Fischel director 10990 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 1400, LOS ANGELES CA 90024
Arun Swarup Menawat director 2412 EIGHTH LINE, OAKVILLE A6 L6H6S9
Joe E Kiani director 4320 FOREST PARK AVENUE, SUITE 100, ST. LOUIS MO 63108
Paul Brathwaite officer: VP Research & Development C/O STEREOTAXIS, INC., 4320 FOREST PARK AVENUE, SUITE 100, ST. LOUIS MO 63108
Martin C Stammer officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O STEREOTAXIS, INC., 4320 FOREST PARK AVENUE, SUITE 100, ST. LOUIS MO 63108
Nathan Fischel director 10990 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 1400, LOS ANGELES CA 90024
Duane Desisto director C/O INSULET CORPORATION, 9 OAK PARK DRIVE, BEDFORD MA 01730