SANUWAVE Health (SANUWAVE Health) Predictability Rank

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What is SANUWAVE Health Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

SANUWAVE Health Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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SANUWAVE Health (SANUWAVE Health) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » SANUWAVE Health Inc (OTCPK:SNWV) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

11495 Valley View Road, Eden Prairie, MN, USA, 30024

Website

https://www.sanuwave.com

SANUWAVE Health Inc is an ultrasound and shock wave technology company using patented systems of noninvasive, high-energy, acoustic shock waves or low-intensity and non-contact ultrasound for regenerative medicine and other applications. The company's focus is regenerative medicine utilizing noninvasive, acoustic shock waves or ultrasound to produce a biological response resulting in the body healing itself through the repair and regeneration of tissue, musculoskeletal, and vascular structures. The company's two primary systems are UltraMIST and PACE. UltraMIST and PACE are the only two Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved directed energy systems for wound healing.

Executives

Andrew Walko	officer: President	11495 VALLEY VIEW ROAD, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55344
Manchester Management Pr, Llc	director, other: Director by Deputization	3 WEST HILL PLACE, BOSTON MA 02114
James E Besser	director, other: Director by Deputization	3 WEST HILL PLACE, BOSTON MA 02114
Manchester Explorer, L.p.	director, other: Director by Deputization	MANCHESTER MANAGEMENT COMPANY, L.L.C, 3 WEST HILL PLACE, Boston ma 02114
Morgan C. Frank	director	2 CALLE NAIRN, UNIT 701, SAN JUAN PR 00907
Manchester Management Co Llc	director, other: Director by Deputization	3 WEST HILL PLACE, BOSTON MA 02110
Thomas Edmunds Price	director	3360 MARTIN FARM ROAD, SUITE 100, SUWANEE GA 30024
Shri P. Parikh	officer: President	3360 MARTIN FARM ROAD, SUITE 100, SUWANEE GA 30024
Richardson Kevin A Ii	10 percent owner	200 HIGH STREET, SUITE 700, BOSTON MA 02110
Anthony Michael Stolarski	director	99 W. ARLINGTON HEIGHTS, NORTH AUGUSTA SC 29841
Sanuwave Health, Inc.	director	3360 MARTIN FARM RD, SUITE 100, SUWANEE GA 30024
Lisa E Sundstrom	officer: Interim CFO	11475 GREAT OAKS WAY, STE 150, ALPHARETTA GA 30022
Joseph Chiarelli	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	510 FAIRVIEW AVENUE, WYCKOFF NJ 07481
Barry J. Jenkins	officer: Chief Financial Officer	11680 GREAT OAKS WAY, SUITE 350, ALPHARETTA GA 30022
Alan L Rubino	director	PO BOX 376, LOBBY L., ANN ARBOR MI 48105