What is Sun Pacific Holding Predictability Rank?
Not Rated
Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:
1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.
It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.
GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.
Sun Pacific Holding Predictability Rank Calculation
In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.
Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:
Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.
The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.
Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns
| Predictables | Non-Predictable | All stocks |
|---|
| Total Number of stocks | 570 | 1833 | 2403 |
| Total Lost Money | 61 | 830 | 891 |
| Total Lost More Than 50% | 18 | 412 | 430 |
| Total Lost More Than 90% | 4 | 86 | 90 |
| Average Gain | 260.6% | 100.0% | 138.1% |
| Median Gain | 150.0% | 13.0% | 39.0% |
| Maximum Gain | 2852.0% | 11483.0% | 11483.0% |
| Maximum Loss | -100.0% | -100.0% | -100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain | 12.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain | 8.9% | 1.1% | 3.1% |
For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.
| Predictability Rank | 5-Star | 4.5-Star | 4-Star | 3.5-Star | 3-Star | 2.5-Star | 2-Star | 1-Star (non-predictable) | Average among all |
|---|
| % Out of All 2403 Stocks |
3.3% |
2.9% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
3.3% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
76.3% |
100% |
| % that are in Loss (10y) |
3% |
10% |
8% |
9% |
11% |
18% |
16% |
45% |
37% |
| Average Gain (10y) |
364.6% |
330.9% |
278.0% |
235.1% |
243.5% |
227.8% |
154.8% |
100.0% |
138.1% |
| Median Gain (10y) |
238.5% |
193.5% |
171.0% |
159.0% |
132.5% |
113.5% |
87.0% |
13.0% |
39.0% |
| Maximum Gainer |
2228.0% |
2547.0% |
2452.0% |
2852.0% |
2432.0% |
1892.0% |
1807.0% |
11483.0% |
11483.0% |
| Maximum Loser |
-82.0% |
-53.0% |
-67.0% |
-100.0% |
-83.0% |
-100.0% |
-78.0% |
-100.0% |
-100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain |
15.4% |
14.6% |
13.2% |
12.0% |
12.2% |
11.7% |
9.1% |
6.7% |
8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain |
12.1% |
10.6% |
9.8% |
9.3% |
8.2% |
7.3% |
6.0% |
1.1% |
3.1% |
For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank
Also read:
Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety
Sun Pacific Holding (Sun Pacific Holding) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
345 Highway 9 South, Suite 388, Manalapan, NJ, USA, 07726
Sun Pacific Holding Corp is a green energy company specializing in solar and waste-to-energy technologies. With a focus on deploying its subject matter expertise and experience in green energy solutions, Sun Pacific is building a Company that designs, develops, builds, and manages green technologies that support renewable energy solutions. Sun Pacific operates several subsidiaries including Sun Pacific Power Corp, Street Smart Outdoor Corp, and National Mechanical Corp. The company provides solar bus stops, solar trashcans, and street kiosks that utilize its advertising offerings that provide State and local municipalities with costs efficient solutions.
Executives
| Nicholas B Campanella |
director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO |
3 KELTON PLACE, MANALAPAN NJ 07726 |
| Vincent Randazzo |
director |
18822, LISTER LANE, HUNTINGTON BEACH CA 92646 |
| William J. Singer |
director, officer: President |
1482 E VALLEY RD, SANTA BARBARA CA 93108 |
| Sumair Mitroo |
director |
4020 GALT OCEAN MILE, APT. 1607, FT. LAUDERDALE FL 33308 |
| Karen Elizabeth Jervis |
officer: Chief Executive Officer |
1 BELLFIELD CRESCENT, EDDLESTON, PEEBLES X0 EH45 8RQ |
| Graham Philip May |
officer: Chief Operating Officer |
36 SPITAL SQUARE, 4TH FLOOR, LONDON X0 E1 6DY |
| David Cooper |
director |
52 QUEEN ANNE STREET, LONDON X0 W1G 8HL |
| Oxon Life Science Ltd |
10 percent owner |
DONEGAN, ZETLANDS, NEVIS U7 0000 |
| Konstantinos Kardiasmenos |
director, officer: Pres/CEO/CFO/Sec. and Treas. |
4 PTOLEMEON STREET, ATHENS J3 11635 |
| Lars Christiansen |
10 percent owner |
13 MERINO COURT, 154 LIVER STREET, LONDON X0 EC1V 8BG |
| Mitchell Johnson |
director, officer: President and CEO |
SUITE 5.15 MLS BUSINESS CENTRE, 130 SHAFTESBURY AVENUE, LONDON X0 W1D 5EU |
| Infrablue Inc. |
10 percent owner |
J&J BUSINESS COMPLEX, SUITE 102, FRIARS HILL ROAD, ST. JOHN'S B9 0000 |
| Keydata Technology Partnership 3 Llp |
10 percent owner |
ONE ANGEL COURT, LONDON X0 EC2R 7HJ |
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