Stryve Foods (Stryve Foods) Predictability Rank

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What is Stryve Foods Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Stryve Foods Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Stryve Foods (Stryve Foods) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Consumer Packaged Goods » Stryve Foods Inc (NAS:SNAX) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

5801 Tennyson Parkway, Suite 275, Plano, TX, USA, 75024

Website

https://www.stryve.com

Stryve Foods Inc is focused on manufacturing and marketing highly differentiated healthy snacks that disrupt traditional snacking categories. It offers convenient snacks that are lower in sugar and carbohydrates and higher in protein than other snacks. Stryve offers all-natural, delicious snacks which it believes are a nutritious and conveniently healthy snacking option for on-the-go lives.

Executives

Christopher J. Boever	director, officer: CEO	C/O THE HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP, INC., 1111 MARCUS AVENUE, LAKE SUCCESS NY 11042
B. Luke Weil	director	CARRERA 10 NO. 28-49, TORRE A. OFICINA 20-05, BOGOTA F8 XXXXX
Kevin Vivian	director	5801 TENNYSON PKWY SUITE 275, PLANO TX 75024
Mauricio Orellana	director	250 WEST 57TH ST., NEW YORK NY 10107
Alex Hawkins	officer: CFO	5801 TENNYSON PKWY SUITE 275, PLANO TX 75024
Chris Whitehair	director	7301 OHMS LANE SUITE 600, EDINA MN 55439
Ramsey Robert D. Iii	director	5801 TENNYSON PKWY SUITE 275, PLANO TX 75024
Ted Casey	director	5801 TENNYSON PKWY SUITE 275, PLANO TX 75024
Gregory Stephen Christenson	director	500 WEST 5TH STREET, AUSTIN TX 78701
Joe A Oblas	director, officer: Co-Chief Executive Officer	65 INVERNESS DRIVE EAST, SUITE 105, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Charles D Vogt	director	TEKELEC, 26580 WEST AGOURA ROAD, CALABASAS CA 91302
Efrem Kamen	10 percent owner	C/O PURA VIDA INVESTMENTS, LLC, 512 W 22ND STREET, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10011
Pura Vida Investments, Llc	10 percent owner	512 W 22ND STREET, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10011
Jaxie S. Alt	director, officer: Co-CEO & CMO	5301 LEGACY DRIVE, PLANO TX 75024
Stryve Foods Holdings, Llc	10 percent owner	5801 TENNYSON PARKWAY, SUITE 275, PLANO TX 75024