Ranger Energy Services (Ranger Energy Services) Predictability Rank

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What is Ranger Energy Services Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Ranger Energy Services Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Ranger Energy Services Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Ranger Energy Services (Ranger Energy Services) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Ranger Energy Services Inc (NYSE:RNGR) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

97L:Germany

Address

10350 Richmond, Suite 550, Houston, TX, USA, 77042

Website

https://www.rangerenergy.com

Ranger Energy Services Inc is a provider of onshore high specification (high-spec) well service rigs, wireline services, and additional processing solutions and ancillary services in the United States. It offers a range of well site services to leading U.S. exploration and production (E&P) companies that are fundamental to establishing and enhancing the flow of oil and natural gas throughout the productive life of a well. The segments of the group are High Specification Rigs, Wireline Services and Processing Solutions and Ancillary Services, of which key revenue is derived from High Specification Rigs segment.

Executives

Charles S. Leykum	director, 10 percent owner	1000 LOUISIANA STREET, SUITE 3850, HOUSTON TX 77002
Stuart Bodden	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	10350 RICHMOND AVENUE, SUITE 550, HOUSTON TX 77042
Melissa Cougle	officer: Chief Financial Officer	777 POST OAK BLVD., 7TH FLOOR, HOUSTON TX 77056
J. Matt Hooker	officer: Chief Operating Officer	800 GESSNER STREET, SUITE 1000, HOUSTON TX 77024
Byron A Dunn	director	C/O HARVEST NATURAL RESOURCES, INC., 1177 ENCLAVE PARKWAY, SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77077
William M Austin	director	C/O KEY ENERGY SERVICES, INC., 1301 MCKINNEY STREET, SUITE 1800, HOUSTON TX 77010
Dialectic Geronimo Manager Llc	10 percent owner	119 ROWAYTON AVENUE, NORWALK CT 06853
John Fichthorn	10 percent owner	C/O DIALECTIC CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 17 STATE STREET, SUITE 3930, NEW YORK NY 10004
Dialectic Partners, Llc	10 percent owner	2ND FLOOR 119 ROWAYTON AVE, NORWALK CT 06853
Dialectic Geronimo Spv Llc	10 percent owner	119 ROWAYTON AVENUE, 2ND FLOOR, NORWALK CT 06853
Dialectic Capital Management, Lp	10 percent owner	119 ROWAYTON AVENUE, 2ND FLOOR, NORWALK CT 06853
Wde Pws Aggregate, Llc	10 percent owner	C/O WHITE DEER MANAGEMENT LLC, 700 LOUISIANA STREET, SUITE 4770, HOUSTON TX 77002
Thomas J Edelman	10 percent owner	777 MAIN STREET SUITE 2500, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Edelman & Guill Energy Ltd.	10 percent owner	700 LOUISIANA STREET, SUITE 4770, HOUSTON TX 77002
Ben A Guill	10 percent owner	600 TRAVIS, SUITE 6000, HOUSTON TX 77002