Rimini Street (Rimini Street) Predictability Rank

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What is Rimini Street Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Rimini Street Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Rimini Street (Rimini Street) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Rimini Street Inc (NAS:RMNI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

0QH:Germany

Address

3993 Howard Hughes Parkway, Suite 500, Las Vegas, NV, USA, 89169

Website

https://www.riministreet.com

Rimini Street Inc is a provider of enterprise software support products and services and the third-party support provider for Oracle and SAP software products based in the United States. Some of its products include Oracle E-business suite, Oracle Retail, Peoplesoft, SAP business suite, and Agile PLM, which are offered to various industries, including manufacturing, public sector companies, retail, and education.

Executives

Seth A. Ravin	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO and Chairman of the Board	3993 HOWARD HUGHES PARKWAY, SUITE 780, LAS VEGAS NV 89169
Michael L. Perica	officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer	C/O 3993 HOWARD HUGHES PARKWAY, SUITE 500, LAS VEGAS NV 89169
Steven Salaets	officer: CIO/CPO EVP GlSec/Facl/Qual/IA	C/O 3993 HOWARD HUGHES PARKWAY, LAS VEGAS NV 89169
Nancy Lyskawa	officer: SVP Global Client Onboarding	3993 HOWARD HUGHES PARKWAY, SUITE 780, LAS VEGAS NV 89169
Kevin Maddock	officer: SVP, Global Sales	3993 HOWARD HUGHES PARKWAY, SUITE 780, LAS VEGAS NV 89169
David W. Rowe	officer: SVP & CMO	3993 HOWARD HUGHES PARKWAY, SUITE 780, LAS VEGAS NV 89169
Sebastian Grady	officer: President	3993 HOWARD HUGHES PARKWAY, SUITE 780, LAS VEGAS NV 89169
Brian Slepko	officer: SVP, Global Service Delivery	3993 HOWARD HUGHES PARKWAY, SUITE 780, LAS VEGAS NV 89169
Gerard Brossard	officer: Chief Operating Officer	1170 PEACHTREE STREET, ATLANTA GA 30309
Jay G Snyder	director	C/O 3993 HOWARD HUGHES PARKWAY, SUITE 500, LAS VEGAS NV 89169
Katrinka Mccallum	director	139 TOWNSEND ST, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Gpiac, Llc	10 percent owner	C/O GP INVESTMENTS ACQUISITION CORP., 150 E. 52ND STREET, SUITE 5003, NEW YORK NY 10022
Daniel B. Winslow	officer: SVP & General Counsel	3993 HOWARD HUGHES PARKWAY, SUITE 780, LAS VEGAS NV 89169
Adams Street Partners Llc	10 percent owner	ONE NORTH WACKER DRIVE, STE 2700, CHICAGO IL 60606-2807
Robin P. Murray	director, 10 percent owner	3993 HOWARD HUGHES PARKWAY, SUITE 780, LAS VEGAS NV 89169