Renovare Environmental (Renovare Environmental) Predictability Rank

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What is Renovare Environmental Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Renovare Environmental Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Renovare Environmental (Renovare Environmental) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Industrial Products » Renovare Environmental Inc (OTCPK:RENO) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

80 Red Schoolhouse Road, Suite 101, Chestnut Ridge, NY, USA, 10977

Website

https://www.biohitech.com

Renovare Environmental Inc, formerly BioHiTech Global Inc is a technology services company focused on providing cost-effective solutions that improve environmental outcomes. Its technologies for waste management include the patented processing of municipal solid waste into a valuable renewable fuel, biological disposal of food waste on-site, and proprietary real-time data analytics tools to reduce food waste generation. When used individually or in combination, the solution lowers the carbon footprint associated with waste transportation and can reduce or virtually eliminate landfill usage.

Executives

Harriet Hentges	director	3222 SCOTT PLACE NW, WASHINGTON DC 20007
Frank E. Celli	director	27 BRADLEY LANE, MONTVALE NJ 07645
Frank E. Celli Family Trust	10 percent owner	80 RED SCHOOLHOUSE ROAD, SUITE 101, CHESTNUT RIDGE NY 10977
Anthony Fuller	director	80 RED SCHOOLHOUSE ROAD, ATTN: BIOHITECH GLOBAL, INC., CHESTNUT RIDGE NY 10977
Walter Iii Littlejohn	director	80 RED SCHOOLHOUSE ROAD, ATTN: BIOHITECH GLOBAL, INC,., CHESTNUT RIDGE NY 10977
Nicholaus Rohleder	director	80 RED SCHOOLHOUSE ROAD, ATTN: BIOHITECH GLOBAL, INC., CHESTNUT RIDGE NY 10977
Brian C. Essman	officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER	59 ST JOHNS RD., WILTON CT 06897
James D. Chambers	director	317 EATON LANDING DRIVE, ANNAPOLIS MD 21401
Robert A. Joyce	officer: Chief Operating Officer	1818 SIGNAL HILL DRIVE, MECHANICSBURG PA 17050
Van Oort Douglas M	director	12701 COMMONWEALTH DRIVE, SUITE 9, FORT MYERS FL 33913
Bob G Gower	10 percent owner	402 TIMBERWILDE LANE, HOUSTON TX 77024
Penn Venture Partners , L.p.	other: 5% Shareholder	132 STATE STREET, HARRISBURG PA 17101
Conundrum Capital Partners, Llc	10 percent owner	317 EATON LANDING DRIVE, ANNAPOLIS MD 21401
Robert A. Graham	director	112 CETON COURT, BROOMALL PA 19008
John P. Glauda	10 percent owner	8409 CAESARS HEAD DRIVE, WAXHAW NC 28173