Reliance Global Group (Reliance Global Group) Predictability Rank

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What is Reliance Global Group Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Reliance Global Group Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Reliance Global Group (Reliance Global Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Insurance » Reliance Global Group Inc (NAS:RELI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

300 Boulevard of the Americas, Suite 105, Lakewood, NJ, USA, 08701

Website

https://www.relianceglobalgroup.com

Reliance Global Group Inc operates as a holding company with diversified interests in the insurance market, as well as other related sectors. The company focuses on growing by pursuing an acquisition strategy, initially and primarily focused on wholesale and retail insurance agencies. Its primary strategy is to identify specific risks to reward arbitrage opportunities and develop these on a national platform, thereby increasing revenues and returns, and then identify and acquire undervalued wholesale and retail insurance agencies with operations in growing or underserved segments, expand and optimize their operations, and achieve asset value appreciation while generating interim cash flows. It generates revenue in the form of commissions.

Executives

Yaakov Beyman	officer: Executive VP, Insurance	300 BLVD. OF THE AMERICAS, SUITE 105, LAKEWOOD NJ 08701
Ezra Beyman	officer: CEO	300 BLVD OF THE AMERICAS, SUITE 105, LAKEWOOD NJ 08701
Scott Korman	director	C/O NASHONE, INC., 175 ELM ROAD, ENGLEWOOD NJ 07361
William Y. Lebovics	officer: Chief Financial Officer	300 BLVD. OF THE AMERICAS, SUITE 105, LAKEWOOD NJ 08701
Joel Markovits	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	300 BLVD. OF THE AMERICAS, SUITE 105, LAKEWOOD NJ 08701
Reliance Global Holdings Llc	officer: CEO	300 BLVD. OF THE AMERICAS., SUITE 105, LAKEWOOD NJ 08701
Miriam Spitz	other: Director of Investor Services	18 SCENIC DRIVE, SUFFERN NY 10901
Alex Blumenfrucht	officer: CFO	517 REYNOLDS AVE, TOMS RIVER NJ 08755
Jack Namer	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	1500 NW 65TH AVENUE PLANTATION FL 33313
Amy M. Nalewaik	10 percent owner	1500 NW 65TH AVENUE PLANTATION FL 33313