QSAM Biosciences (QSAM Biosciences) Predictability Rank

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What is QSAM Biosciences Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

QSAM Biosciences Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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QSAM Biosciences (QSAM Biosciences) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » QSAM Biosciences Inc (OTCPK:QSAM) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

9442 Capital of Texas Highway North, Plaza 1, Suite 500, Austin, TX, USA, 78759

Website

https://www.qsambio.com

QSAM Biosciences Inc is a clinical-stage novel radiopharmaceutical company. The company is developing treatments for bone cancer and related diseases.

Executives

Adam King	officer: Chief Financial Officer	9442 CAPITAL OF TEXAS HWY N, PLAZA 1, SUITE 500, AUSTIN TX 78759
Link Jr. Charles J	director	C/O NEWLINK GENETICS CORP., 2503 SOUTH LOOP DR., SUITE 5100, AIMES IA 50010
Adriann Sax	director	7 DORSET COURT,, EAST BRUNSWICK, NJ 08816
David Charles Link	director	2100 E 54TH STREET NORTH, SIOUX FALLS SD 57104
Douglas R Baum	director, officer: CEO & Director	5000 RAFFEE COVE, AUSTIN TX 78731-1132
C Richard Piazza	director, officer: Executive Chairman	2236 EAST MALL, SUITE 208, UNIVERSITY OF BRITISH COLUMBIA, VANCOUVER A1 V6T 1Z3
Checkmate Strategic Capital Holdings, Llc	other: Member of 13(d) 10% owner grp	595 E. COLORADO BOULEVARD, SUITE 530, PASADENA CA 91101
Checkmate Strategic Capital 2, Llc	10 percent owner, other: See Explanation of Responses	595 E. COLORADO BOULEVARD, SUITE 530, PASADENA CA 91101
Checkmate Capital Group, Llc	10 percent owner, other: Member of 13(d) 10% owner grp	595 E. COLORADO BOULEVARD, SUITE 530, PASADENA CA 91101
Charles Thomas Paschall	other: Member of 13(d) 10% owner grp	595 E. COLORADO BOULEVARD, SUITE 530, PASADENA CA 91101
Christopher M. Nelson	director, officer: General Counsel	420 ROYAL PALM WAY, SUITE #100, PALM BEACH FL 33480
Scott W. Whitney	director, other: Former Director	96 WINDSOR DRIVE, PINE BROOK NJ 07058
Kevin Bolin	director, officer: Former Chairman & CEO	1081 ROSEDALE DRIVE, ATLANTA GA 30306
Tristan Peitz	director, other: Former Director	C/O Q2POWER TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 420 ROYAL PALM WAY, #100, PALM BEACH FL 33480
Joel David Mayersohn	director	350 EAST LAS OLAS BLVD. #1150, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301