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Powerdyne International (Powerdyne International) Predictability Rank


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What is Powerdyne International Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Powerdyne International Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Powerdyne International Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Powerdyne International (Powerdyne International) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Industrial Products » Powerdyne International Inc (OTCPK:PWDY) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
BSTK CAPC KRFG COUV DLYT IMHC NXU SZSE:300750 XSWX:ABBN BKK:DELTA TSE:6503 XPAR:LR SZSE:300124 SZSE:300274 XKRX:247540 HUBB VRT SZSE:300014 SHSE:603195 MIL:PRY
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
45 Main Street, North Reading, MA, USA, 01864
Website
http://www.powerdyneinternational.com
Powerdyne International Inc primarily services the Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEM's) in the semiconductor market by supplying custom designed motors for the robotics used in semiconductor manufacturing equipment.
Executives
Read Arthur M Ii director, officer: Executive Vice President 300 CENTERVILLE ROAD, SUITE 100E, WARWICK RI 02886
Dale Euga director, 10 percent owner, officer: President 300 CENTERVILLE ROAD, SUITE 100E, WARWICK RI 02886
Robert C. Hemsen director C/O POWERDYNE INTERNATIONAL, INC., 100 JEFFERSON, WARWICK RI 02888
John M. Faulhaber director C/O POWERDYNE INTERNATIONAL, INC., 100 JEFFERSON BLVD SUITE 200, WARWICK RI 02888
James F. O'rourke director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 45 MAIN STREET, NORTH READING MA 01864
Linda Madison officer: Secretary/Treasurer C/O POWERDYNE INTERNATIONAL, INC., 100 JEFFERSON BLVD, SUITE 200, WARWICK RI 02888
Edwin S. Barton officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O POWERDYNE INTERNATIONAL, INC., 100 JEFFERSON BLVD SUITE 200, WARWICK RI 02888
Stephen L. Caromile officer: Vice President C/O POWERDYNE INTERNATIONAL, INC., 100 JEFFERSON BLVD SUITE 200, WARWICK RI 02888
James M Cassidy other: former officer:director,s/h 215 APOLENA AVENUE, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92662
James K Mckillop other: frmer officer: director, 10%sh 9454 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 612, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Tiber Creek Corp other: former 10% owner 215 APOLENA AVENUE, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92662

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