Energy Vault Holdings (Energy Vault Holdings) Predictability Rank

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What is Energy Vault Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Energy Vault Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Energy Vault Holdings (Energy Vault Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Utilities » Utilities - Independent Power Producers » Energy Vault Holdings Inc (NYSE:NRGV) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

8610:Germany 8610:Germany

Address

4360 Park Terrace Drive, Suite 100, Westlake Village, CA, USA, 91361

Website

https://www.energyvault.com

Energy Vault Holdings Inc is a grid-scale energy storage company that is driving a faster transition to renewable power by solving the intermittence issues that are inherent to the most prevalent sources of renewable energy, solar and wind. Geographical presence in United States, China and Other. Majority of its revenue comes from U.S.

Executives

Akshay Ladwa	officer: Chief Engineering Officer	C/O ENERGY VAULT, INC., 4360 PARK TERRACE DRIVE, SUITE 100, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91361
Marco Terruzzin	officer: Chief Product Officer	4360 PARK TERRACE, SUITE 100, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91361
Van Gaalen Jan Kees	officer: Chief Financial Officer	10205 WESTHEIMER, SUITE 1000, HOUSTON TX 77042
Christopher Wiese	officer: Chief Operating Officer	4360 PARK TERRACE DRIVE, SUITE 100, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91361
Goncagul Icoren	officer: Chief People Officer	4360 PARK TERRACE DRIVE, SUITE 100, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91361
Josh Mcmorrow	officer: Chief Legal Officer	4360 PARK TERRACE DRIVE, SUITE 100, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91361
Laurence Alexander	officer: Chief Marketing Officer	C/O ROK ENTERTAINMENT GROUP ROK HOUSE, HOLYHEAD ROAD, ALBRIGHTON, WOLVERHAMPTON X0 WV7 3AU
Robert Piconi	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O HEALTHCARE AI ACQUISITION, 7 STANLEY GARDENS, LONDON X0 W112ND
Andrea Pedretti	officer: Chief Technology Officer	4360 PARK TERRACE DRIVE, SUITE 100, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91361
Theresa M Fariello	director	C/O ENERGY VAULT, INC., 4360 PARK TERRACE DRIVE, SUITE 100, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91361
William Gross	director	C/O BILL GROSS' IDEALAB, 130 W UNION STREET, PASADENA CA 91103
David W Hitchcock	officer: Interim CFO	67 WHIPPANY ROAD, WHIPPANY NJ 07981
Thomas R Ertel	director	C/O BLACKBAUD, INC., 2000 DANIEL ISLAND DRIVE, CHARLESTON SC 29492
Idealab Studio, Llc	10 percent owner	130 W. UNION STREET, PASADENA CA 91103
John G Jung	officer: President of EVS	4360 PARK TERRACE DRIVE, SUITE 100, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91361