Nanomix (Nanomix) Predictability Rank

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What is Nanomix Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Nanomix Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Nanomix (Nanomix) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » Nanomix Corp (OTCPK:NNMX) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

2121 Williams Street, San Leandro, CA, USA, 94577

Website

https://www.nanomixdx.com

Nanomix Corp develops, manufactures, and commercializes point-of-care diagnostic tests that are used to detect or monitor diseases. Its products include The Nanomix eLab System, COVID-19 Rapid Antigen Panel, and Critical Infection and Host Response. The company's products improve healthcare delivery by bringing the diagnostic information to the point of initial patient interaction, whether in the hospital or settings such as nursing facilities, elderly homes, urgent care centers, airports, schools, and more.

Executives

Chris Hetterly	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O NANOMIX CORPORATION, 2121 WILLIAMS STREET, SAN LEANDRO CA 94577
Garrett Gruener	director, 10 percent owner	ONE EMBARCADERO CENTER, SUITE 3700, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Thomas Schlumpberger	director, officer: CEO	C/O NANOMIX CORPORATION, 2121 WILLIAMS STREET, SAN LEANDRO CA 94577
Vidur Sahney	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O NANOMIX CORPORATION, 2121 WILLIAMS STREET, SAN LEANDRO CA 94577
John Hardesky	officer: Chief Commercial Officer	C/O NANOMIX CORPORATION, 2121 WILLIAMS STREET, SAN LEANDRO CA 94577
David Ludvigson	director, officer: CEO and President	BLACK PEARL INC, 400 SECOND ST STE 450, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Gregory T Schiffman	director	1030 NW JOHNSON ST, UNIT 608, PORTLAND OR 97209
Loraine Upham	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O BOSTON THERAPEUTUCS INC., 354 MERRIMACK ST, #4, LAWRENCE MA 01843
Carl W Rausch	director, officer: CEO
Alan M Hoberman	director	6134 MECHANICSVILLE ROAD, PO BOX 56, MECHANICSVILLE PA 18934
Cheng Conroy Chi-heng	director	ADVANCE PHARMACEUTICAL CO LTD, 3/F, GMP CENTRE, 12 DAI FU STREET, TAI PO K3 280
Anthony Don Squeglia	officer: Chief Financial Officer	PRO-PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 7 WELLS AVENUE, SUITE 34, NEWTON MA 02459
Neill Sydney Colin	director	C/O AXONYX INC, 500 SEVENTH AVE 1OTH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Jonathan B Rome	officer: Chief Operating Officer (3)	178 WEST SADDLE RIVER ROAD, SADDLE RIVER NJ 07458
Rom E Eliaz	director	33 KACHAL STREET, LEHAVIM L3 85338