Nanophase Technologies (Nanophase Technologies) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 1997. Start your Free Trial

What is Nanophase Technologies Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Nanophase Technologies Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Nanophase Technologies Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Nanophase Technologies's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Nanophase Technologies (Nanophase Technologies) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Chemicals » Nanophase Technologies Corp (OTCPK:NANX) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

1319 Marquette Drive, Romeoville, IL, USA, 60446

Website

https://www.nanophase.com

Nanophase Technologies Corp is a U.S based company engaged in the production of engineered nanomaterial solutions and larger, sub-micron, materials such as personal care sunscreens, architectural coatings, industrial coating applications, and abrasion-resistant additives, plastics additives, medical diagnostics, energy. Its technologies are designed to offer nanomaterial solutions for a specific customer application across various industries. Its products include Aluminum Oxide, Antimony Tin Oxide, Bismuth Oxide, Cerium Oxide, Iron Oxide and Zinc Oxide. The firm categorizes its revenue stream into three main product categories, Personal Care Ingredients, Advanced Materials and Solesence. Substantial revenue is generated from the sale of Solesence finished products.

Executives

Jess Jankowski	officer: Chief Financial Officer
R Janet Whitmore	director
Bradford T Whitmore	10 percent owner	5215 OLD ORCHARD ROAD, SUITE 620, SKOKIE IL 60077
Mark E Miller	director	1319 MARQUETTE DR, ROMEOVILLE IL 60446
Kevin Cureton	officer: VP, Sales & Marketing & BD	1319 MARQUETTE DRIVE, ROMEOVILLE IL 60446
Strandler, Llc	10 percent owner	401 3RD STREET, #9, RAPID CITY SD 57701
Laura M Beres	director	1319 MARQUETTE DR, ROMEOVILLE IL 60446
Jaime Escobar	officer: Chief Financial Officer	1319 MARQUETTE DRIVE, ROMEOVILLE IL 60446
Frank Cesario	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O ISCO INTERNATIONAL INC, 451 KIGSTON COURT, MT PROSPECT IL 60056
James A Henderson	director	301 WASHINGTON ST, COLUMBUS IN 47201
George A Vincent	director	C/O NANOPHASE TECHNOLOGIES, 1319 MARQUETTE DRIVE, ROMEOVILLE IL 60446
Spurgeon Corp	10 percent owner	407 S. THIRD STREET, SUITE 230, GENEVA IL 60134
W Edwin Tyler	director	ONE NORTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4200, CHICAGO IL 60606
Nancy Baldwin	officer: VP Human Resources & IT	1319 MARQUETTE DRIVE, ROMEOVILLE IL 60446
Patrick G Murray	officer: VP Research & Development	1319 MARQUETTE DRIVE, ROMEOVILLE IL 60446