MeridianLink (MeridianLink) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2021. Start your Free Trial

What is MeridianLink Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

MeridianLink Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

MeridianLink Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of MeridianLink's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

MeridianLink (MeridianLink) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » MeridianLink Inc (NYSE:MLNK) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

3560 Hyland Avenue, Suite 200, Costa Mesa, CA, USA, 92626

Website

https://www.meridianlink.com

MeridianLink Inc is a cloud-based software solution for financial institutions, including banks, credit unions, mortgage lenders, specialty lending providers, and consumer reporting agencies. It generates maximum revenue from Lending Software Solutions.

Executives

Sean W Blitchok	officer: Chief Financial Officer	MERIDIANLINK, INC., 3560 HYLAND AVENUE, SUITE 200, COSTA MESA CA 92626
Edward H Mcdermott	director	60 E. SIR FRANCIS DRAKE BLVD., SUITE 300, LARKSPUR CA 94939
Cowan Cody	director	MERIDIANLINK, INC., 3560 HYLAND AVENUE, SUITE 200, COSTA MESA CA 92626
Chris Maloof	officer: President, Go To Market	MERIDIANLINK, INC., 3560 HYLAND AVENUE, SUITE 200, COSTA MESA CA 92626
Mark Sachleben	director	C/O NEW RELIC, INC., 188 SPEAR STREET, STE. 1200, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Duston Williams	director	C/O NUTANIX, INC., 1740 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, SUITE 150, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Alan R. Arnold	officer: Chief Operating Officer	MERIDIANLINK, INC., 3560 HYLAND AVENUE, SUITE 200, COSTA MESA CA 92626
Yael Zheng	director	345 ENCINAL STREET, SANTA CRUZ CA 95060
Reema Poddar	director	1600 SUNFLOWER AVENUE, #200, COSTA MESA CA 92626
Timothy Nguyen	director, officer: Chief Strategy Officer	PROJECT ANGEL PARENT, LLC, 1600 SUNFLOWER AVENUE, SUITE #200, COSTA MESA CA 92626
Paul Andrew Zuber	director	C/O HOULIHAN LOKEY, INC., 10250 CONSTELLATION BLVD., 5TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Nicolaas Vlok	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	MERIDIANLINK, INC., 3560 HYLAND AVENUE, SUITE 200, COSTA MESA CA 92626
Chad H. Martin	officer: Chief Financial Officer	MERIDIANLINK, INC., 3560 HYLAND AVENUE, SUITE 200, COSTA MESA CA 92626
Thoma Bravo Discover Fund Ii, L.p.	10 percent owner	300 NORTH LASALLE STREET, SUITE 4350, CHICAGO IL 60654
Arthur J. Rohde	director	PROJECT ANGEL PARENT, LLC, 1600 SUNFLOWER AVENUE, SUITE #200, COSTA MESA CA 92626