LogicMark (LogicMark) Predictability Rank

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What is LogicMark Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

LogicMark Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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LogicMark (LogicMark) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Healthcare Providers & Services » LogicMark Inc (NAS:LGMK) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

0KA8:UK

Address

2801 Diode Lane, Louisville, KY, USA, 40299

Website

https://www.logicmark.com

LogicMark Inc provides personal emergency response systems (PERS), health communications devices, and IoT technologies to create a connected care platform. Its devices give people the ability to receive care at home and confidence to age in place. The company incorporates two-way voice communication technology directly into its medical alert pendant and provides this life-saving technology at a price point that everyday consumers can afford.

Executives

Carine Schneider	director	C/O LOGICMARK INC., 2801 DIODE LANE, LOUISVILLE KY 40299
Robert Arthur Curtis	director	C/O TECHNEST HOLDINGS, INC., 10411 MOTOR CITY DR. #650, BETHESDA MD 20817
Barbara Gutierrez	director	8950 E. LOWRY BLVD., DENVER CO 80230
John P Pettitt	director	3031 TISCH WAY, STE 900, SAN JOSE CA 95128
Sherice Torres	director	PO BOX 20833, SAN JOSE CA 95160
Mark Archer	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O NXT-ID, INC., 2801 DIODE LANE, LOUISVILLE KY 40299
Chia-lin Simmons	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	288 CHRISTIAN STREET, HANGAR C 2ND FLOOR, OXFORD CT 06478
Michael Joseph Orlando	director, officer: Chief Operating Officer	1806 145TH PL SE, MILL CREEK WA 98012
C. David Tunnell	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Technology Officer	1721 WINDING RIDGE CIRCLE SE, PALM BAY FL 32909
Worldventures Holdings, Llc	10 percent owner	5100 TENNYSON PARKWAY, PLANO TX 75024
Wayne Tilman Nugent	10 percent owner	5100 TENNYSON PARKWAY, PLANO TX 75024
Stanley Eric Washington	director	3745 OLYMPIAD DRIVE, LOS ANGELES CA 90043
Vincent S Miceli	officer: Vice President and CFO	87 GRANDVIEW AVENUE, WATERBURY CT 06708
Daniel P Sharkey	director
Michael D'almada-remedios	director	5610 TROON COURT, DISCOVERY BAY CA 94505-9299