Legacy Education Alliance (Legacy Education Alliance) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2014. Start your Free Trial

What is Legacy Education Alliance Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Legacy Education Alliance Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Legacy Education Alliance Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Legacy Education Alliance's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Legacy Education Alliance (Legacy Education Alliance) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Education » Legacy Education Alliance Inc (OTCPK:LEAI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

1490 NE Pine Island Road, Suite 5D, Cape Coral, FL, USA, 33909

Website

https://www.legacyeducationalliance.com

Legacy Education Alliance Inc is engaged in the provision of educational training seminars, conferences, and services. It offers comprehensive instruction and mentorship in the areas of personal finance, entrepreneurship, real estate investing strategies, and techniques. Some of its brands are Homemade Investor, and Building Wealth with Legacy. Its geographical segments are North America, the United Kingdom, and Other foreign markets, of which the majority of its revenue comes from North America.

Executives

Barry Kostiner	director	C/O AMERI HOLDINGS, INC., 5000 RESEARCH COURT, SUITE 750, SUWANEE GA 30024
Michel Botbol	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	1490 N. E. PINE ISLAND RD., SUITE 5D, CAPE CORAL FL 33909
Legacy Tech Partners, Llc	10 percent owner	1 N SHERRI LANE, SPRING VALLEY NY 10977
Peter W Harper	director	C/O SUNTRON CORP, 2501 WEST GRANDVIEW ROAD, PHOENIX AZ 85023
Anthony C. Humpage	director, 10 percent owner	1612 EAST CAPE CORAL PKWY, LEGACY EDUCATION ALLIANCE, INC., CAPE CORAL FL 33904
Vanessa Guzman-clark	officer: Chief Financial Officer	1831 SOUTHWEST 6TH AVENUE, CAPE CORAL FL 33991
Martin Foster	officer: Co-President	50 VALE ROAD, WINDSOR X0 SL4 5LA
Cary Sucoff	director	1612 EAST CAPE CORAL PKWY, C/O LEGACY EDUCATION ALLIANCE, INC., CAPE CORAL FL 33904
Fredrick Dummar	officer: Senior Vice President & NEO	1612 EAST CAPE CORAL PKWY, 1, CAPE CORAL FL 33904
Christian Baeza	officer: Chief Financial Officer	1612 E. CAPE CORAL PARKWAY, CAPE CORAL FL 33904
James K Bass	director, officer: Chairman of the Board	1612 EAST CAPE CORAL PKWY, C/O LEGACY EDUCATION ALLIANCE, INC., CAPE CORAL FL 33904
James E. May	officer: Executive Vice President	1612 E. CAPE CORAL PARKWAY, CAPE CORAL FL 33904
Iain Edwards	officer: Chief Operating Officer	1612 E. CAPE CORAL PARKWAY, CAPE CORAL FL 33904