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Lithium & Boron Technology (Lithium & Boron Technology) Predictability Rank


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What is Lithium & Boron Technology Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Lithium & Boron Technology Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Lithium & Boron Technology Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Lithium & Boron Technology (Lithium & Boron Technology) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Chemicals » Lithium & Boron Technology Inc (OTCPK:LBTI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
ATYG GRST NXTFF PHBI TRTK NPHC FOMC GCAN LGMH DCLT SAU:2010 TSE:4063 XTER:BAS XKRX:051910 SHSE:600309 DOW SZSE:002460 SZSE:002493 XKRX:086520 SHSE:600989
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
60 East Ren-Min Road, Xai Xi County, Qing Hai Province, Da-Chai Dan, CHN, 817000
Website
http://www.lithiumborontech.com
Lithium & Boron Technology Inc is a Chinese boric acid manufacturing company. The company through its holding manufactures and sells boric acid and related compounds for industrial and consumer use. It offers boric acid manufacturing facilities to produce lithium carbonate for the rapidly growing electric vehicle battery market in China.
Executives
Jimin Zhang 10 percent owner 33 DENG SHI DOU STREET, BEJING F4 100006
Ginko International Investment Co., Ltd 10 percent owner WICKHAMS CAY II, ROAD TOWN, TORTOLA D8 VG1110
Jian Zhang 10 percent owner 60 EAST REN-MIN ROAD, DA-CHAI-DAN TOWN, XAIXI COUNTY,QING HAI PROVINCE F4 813300
Mao Zhang director, 10 percent owner 60 EAST REN-MIN ROAD, DA-CHAI-DAN TOWN, XAIXI COUNTY,QING HAI PROVINCE F4 813300
Huajun Ai officer: Corporate Secretary C/O SMARTHEAT, A-1,10, STREET 7, SHENYANG F4 110027
Northtech Holdings Inc. 10 percent owner MILL MALL 6 WICKHAMS CAY1, P. O. BOX 3085 ROAD TOWN, TORTOLA D8 VG1110
Kenneth E. Scipta director 4045 CENTER POINTE PLACE, SARASOTA FL 34233
Michael Wilhelm officer: Chief Financial Officer 6529 N. OSHKOSH AVENUE, CHICAGO IL 60631
Oliver Bialowons director, officer: President SCHREIBERSTR 38, STUTTGART 2M 70199
Qingtai Kong director A-1,10,STREET 7,SHENYANG ECON&TECH ZONE, C/O SMARTHEAT INC., SHENYANG F4 110141
Xudong Wang officer: VP of Strategy and Development C/O SMARTHEAT INC, A-1 TO ST 7 SHENYANG ECO & TECH DEV ZONE, SHENYANG F4 110027
Xin Li director C/O SMARTHEAT INC, A-1 10 STREET 7, SHENYANG F4 110027
Arnold Staloff director 1605 MAYFLOWER LANE, CHERRY HILL NJ 08003
Fredric W Rittereiser director C/O UTTC 1900 MARKET ST, STE 701, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Wenbin Lin director C/O SMARTHEAT,A-1,10, STREET 7, SHENYANG ECON & TECH DEV. ZONE, SHENYANG F4 110027

Lithium & Boron Technology (Lithium & Boron Technology) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Lithium & Boron Technology Announces Breakthrough Technology For Lithium Carbonate Production Used in Electric Vehicle and Energy Storage Batteries

By PRNewswire PRNewswire • 11-11-2021