Kuber Resources (Kuber Resources) Predictability Rank

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What is Kuber Resources Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Kuber Resources Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Kuber Resources Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Kuber Resources (Kuber Resources) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Consumer Packaged Goods » Kuber Resources Corp (OTCPK:KUBR) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

89 Queensway, Room 1113, Tower 2, Lippo Centre, Admiralty, Hong Kong, HKG, 510620

Website

https://www.kuberresources.com

Kuber Resources Corp is a holding company. The firm through its subsidiaries specializes in trade and consulting in Hong Kong.

Executives

Chi Kit Hui	officer: Chief Financial Officer	11/F GUANGDONG FINANCE BLDG, 88 CONNAUGHT RD WEST, HONG KONG F4 00000
Chi Ho Cheung	officer: Chief Executive Officer	5/F GUANGDONG FINANCE BLDG, 88 CONNAUGHT RD WEST, HONG KONG F4 00000
Carol Kwok	director	5/F GUANGDONG FINANCE BLDG, 88 CONNAUGHT RD WEST, HONG KONG F4 00000
Kin Yu Wong	director, officer: Chief Operating Officer	5/F GUANGDONG FINANCE BLDG, 88 CONNAUGHT RD WEST, HONG KONG F4 00000
Tsun Sin Man Samuel	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman	5/F GUANGDONG FINANCE BLDG, 88 CONNAUGHT RD WEST, HONG KONG F4 00000
Yang Zeng	director	5/F GUANGDONG FINANCE BLDG, 88 CONNAUGHT RD WEST, HONG KONG F4 00000
Wanjun Guo	10 percent owner	5/F GUANGDONG FINANCE BLDG, 99 CONNAUGHT RD WEST, HONG KONG F4 00000
Larry Wei Fan	officer: Chief Financial Officer	ROOM 303, 3/F GOLDLION CENTER, 136-138 TIYU RD EAST, TIANHE DISTRICT, GUANGZHOU F4 510620
Yang Xiao Lei	director	2 FLOOR, OFFICE TOWER II, LANDMARK TOWERS, 8 N. DONGSHANHUAN RD, BEIJING F4 100004
John Hui	director, officer: CEO	C/O LOEB & LOEB LLP, 10100 SANTA MONICA BLVD SUITE 2200, LOS ANGELES CA 90067-4164
Chaoming Luo	director	RM 1217, 12TH/FL, THE METROPOLIS TOWER, 10 METROPOLIS DR., HUNGHOM K3 510000
Chi Ming Chan	director, officer: DIRECTOR	RM 1217, 12TH/FL, THE METROPOLIS TOWER, 10 METROPOLIS DR., HUNGHOM K3 510000
Tsang Chi Hung	director	3RD FLOOR, GOLDLION DIGITAL NETWORK, CENTER, 138 TIYU ROAD EAST, TIANHE, GUANGZHOU F4 510620
Tao Wendy Siu Ping Choi	10 percent owner	12/F 9 DES VOEUX ROAD WEST, HONG KONG K3 00000
Wong Keith Yat Chor	10 percent owner

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