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Resonate Blends (Resonate Blends) Predictability Rank


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What is Resonate Blends Predictability Rank?

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Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Resonate Blends Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Resonate Blends Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Resonate Blends (Resonate Blends) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
26565 Agoura Road, Suite 200, Calabasas, CA, USA, 91302
Resonate Blends Inc is a cannabis/hemp-based holding company. It is focused on a vertically integrated and valued-added Wellness and Lifestyle brand.
Executives
Richard Hoge 10 percent owner C/O JIM KEARNEY, 760 SW 9TH AVE. STE 3000, PORTLAND OR 97205
Pamela Kerwin officer: Chief Operating Officer 26565 AGOURA ROAD, SUITE 200, CALABASAS CA 91302
Geoffrey Selzer director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 26565 AGOURA ROAD, SUITE 200, CALABASAS CA 91302
David Thomas Thielen 10 percent owner, officer: COO 1940 CONTRA COSTA BLVD., PLEASANT HILL CA 94523
Nick Allen Miniello 10 percent owner, officer: VP of Sales 1940 CONTRA COSTA BLVD., PLEASANT HILL CA 94523
Wais Asefi director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO 1940 CONTRA COSTA BLVD., PLEASANT HILL CA 94523
Sterling John M Iii director
Gregory Oliver Sargent 10 percent owner 1609 FAIRFIELD BEACH ROAD, FAIRFIELD CT 06824
Steven Richard Deerwester officer: Vice President 3125 DARTMOUTH PLACE, CUMMING GA 30041
David G Kane other: Controller 50 JOE LEE DRIVE, SHARPSBURG GA 30277
I Sigmund Mosley director 945 E PACES FERRY RD, SUITE 2450, ATLANTA GA 30326
Vincent J Dooley director 2859 PACES FERRY ROAD, SUITE 1000, ATLANTA GA 30339
Spencer John N Jr director 2859 PACES FERRY RD, STE 1000, ATLANTA GA 30339
Marsha K Calfee officer: VP of Product Development
Jeffrey Longoria officer: VP of Sales

Resonate Blends (Resonate Blends) Headlines