Jasper Therapeutics (Jasper Therapeutics) Predictability Rank

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What is Jasper Therapeutics Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Jasper Therapeutics Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Jasper Therapeutics (Jasper Therapeutics) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Jasper Therapeutics Inc (NAS:JSPR) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

2200 Bridge Parkway, Suite No. 102, Redwood, CA, USA, 94065

Website

https://www.jaspertherapeutics.com

Jasper Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage biotechnology company dedicated to enabling cures through hematopoietic stem cell therapy. It is focused on the development and commercialization of safer and more effective conditioning agents and stem cell engineering to allow for expanded use of stem cell transplantation and ex vivo gene therapy.

Executives

Thomas G Wiggans	director
William Lis	director	PORTOLA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 270 EAST GRAND AVENUE, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Jeetinder Singh Mahal	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O JASPER THERAPEUTICS, INC., 2200 BRIDGE PARKWAY, SUITE 102, REDWOOD CITY CA 94065
Ron Martell	director, officer: President, CEO & Director	PONIARD PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 750 BATTERY STREET, SUITE 330, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Herb Cross	officer: Chief Financial Officer	3061 ZANKER RD, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Scott C. Brun	director	C/O CABALETTA BIO, INC., 2929 ARCH STREET, SUITE 600, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
Edwin Jonathan Tucker	officer: Chief Medical Officer	C/O MIRUM PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 950 TOWER LANE, SUITE 1050, FOSTER CITY CA 94404
Anna Louise French	director	C/O QIMING U.S. HEALTHCARE, 11100 NE 8TH ST, SUITE 200, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Kurt Von Emster	director, 10 percent owner	601 GATEWAY BOULEVARD, SUITE 350, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Gary E Rieschel	10 percent owner
Qiming U.s. Healthcare Fund Ii, L.p.	10 percent owner	350 106TH AVENUE NE, 1ST FLOOR, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Llp Abingworth	10 percent owner	38 JERMYN STREET, LONDON X0 SW1Y 6DN
Mark Mcdade	10 percent owner	C/O PROTINE DESIGN LAB, 7442 NORTH MARCER WAY, MERCER ISLAND WA 98040
Qiming U.s. Healthcare Gp Ii, Llc	10 percent owner	11100 NE 8TH ST, SUITE 200, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Carlyle Group Inc.	10 percent owner	C/O THE CARLYLE GROUP, 1001 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, N.W., WASHINGTON DC 20004