iSun (ISUN) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2016. Start your Free Trial

What is iSun Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

iSun Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

iSun Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of iSun's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

iSun (ISUN) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Semiconductors » iSun Inc (OTCPK:ISUN) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

4U1A:Germany

Address

400 Avenue D, Suite 10, Williston, VT, USA, 05495

Website

https://www.isunenergy.com

iSun Inc is a solar energy services and infrastructure deployment company. Its service provides services include solar, storage, and electric vehicle infrastructure, design, development and professional services, engineering, procurement, installation, O&M, and storage. It operates in all solar markets including residential, commercial, industrial, and utility segments.

Executives

Claudia Michel Meer	director	5425 WICKFORD DRIVE, NORTH BETHESDA MD 20852
Frederick Jr Myrick	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Executive Vice President	1 HICKORY LANE, ESSEX JUNCTION VT 05452
Jeffrey Peck	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	618 BRENNAN WOODS DRIVE, WILLISTON VT 05495
John Patrick Sullivan	officer: Chief Financial Officer	97 OVERLAKE PARK, BURLINGTON VT 05401
Michael Paul D'amato	officer: Chief Strategy Officer	208 MIDWOOD STREET, BROOKLYN NY 11225
Daniel Reid Dus	officer: President of iSun Industrial	850 SUMMER ST, M9, LEE MA 01238
Andrew Christian Matthy	director	400 AVENUE D, WILLISTON VT 05495
Merritt Harold Kenneth Jr.	officer: Secretary	C/O ISUN, INC., 400 AVE D, SUITE 10, WILLISTON VT 05495
Sass Peress	officer: Chief Innovation Officer	7501 MOUNTAIN SIGHTS, APT 505, MONTREAL A8 H4P0A8
Mats Wennberg	10 percent owner	240 S PINEAPPLE AVE, STE 701, SARASOTA FL 34236
Joseph A Bobier	other: Member of group that owns 10%	240 S PINEAPPLE AVE, STE 701, SARASOTA FL 34236
Roger G Branton	10 percent owner	240 S PINEAPPLE AVE, STE 701, SARASOTA FL 34236
Richard L Mooers	10 percent owner	240 S PINEAPPLE AVE, STE 701, SARASOTA FL 34236
Douglas Rose	director	802 HITCHING POST RD, VISTA CA 92081
Stewart I. Martin	director	598 SW 16TH STREET, BOCA RATON FL 33432