Inhibrx (Inhibrx) Predictability Rank

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What is Inhibrx Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Inhibrx Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Inhibrx (Inhibrx) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Inhibrx Inc (NAS:INBX) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

11025 N. Torrey Pines Road, Suite 200, La Jolla, CA, USA, 92037

Website

https://www.inhibrx.com

Inhibrx Inc is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing a pipeline of novel biologic therapeutic candidates. It combines an understanding of target biology with protein engineering, proprietary discovery technologies, and an integrative approach to research and development to design differentiated therapeutic candidates. The company has four programs in clinical trials, of which three of the programs are for the treatment of various cancers, and one for the treatment of Alpha-1 Antitrypsin Deficiency.

Executives

Ole Andreas Halvorsen	10 percent owner	600 WASHINGTON BLVD., FLOOR 11, STAMFORD CT 06901
Viking Global Opportunities Parent Gp Llc	10 percent owner	600 WASHINGTON BLVD., FLOOR 11, STAMFORD CT 06901
Rose Sharon Shabet	10 percent owner	600 WASHINGTON BLVD., FLOOR 11, STAMFORD CT 06901
Viking Global Opportunities Gp Llc	10 percent owner	55 RAILROAD AVENUE, GREENWICH CT 06830
Viking Global Investors Lp	10 percent owner	600 WASHINGTON BLVD., FLOOR 11, STAMFORD CT 06901
David C. Ott	10 percent owner	600 WASHINGTON BLVD., FLOOR 11, STAMFORD CT 06901
Mark Lappe	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	11622 EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Brendan P. Eckelman	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Scientific Officer	C/O INHIBRX, INC., 11025 N. TORREY PINES ROAD, SUITE 200, LA JOLLA CA 92037
Jon Faiz Kayyem	director, 10 percent owner	5964 LA PLACE COURT, CARLSBAD CA 92008
Dragsa 50 Llc	10 percent owner	55 RAILROAD AVENUE, GREENWICH CT 06830
Viking Global Opportunities Portfolio Gp Llc	10 percent owner	600 WASHINGTON BLVD., FLOOR 11, STAMFORD CT 06901
Viking Global Opportunities Illiquid Investments Sub-master Lp	10 percent owner	600 WASHINGTON BLVD., FLOOR 11, STAMFORD CT 06901
Kristiina Md Vuori	director	C/O WEBMD HEALTH CORP., 111 EIGHTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10011
Klaus W. Wagner	officer: Chief Medical Officer	C/O INHIBRX, INC., 11025 N. TORREY PINES ROAD, SUITE 200, LA JOLLA CA 92037
Kimberly Manhard	director	C/O HERON THERAPEUTICS, INC, 4242 CAMPUS POINT COURT, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92121