CBRE Clarion Global Real Estateome Fund (CBRE Clarion Global Real Estateome Fund) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to . Start your Free Trial

What is CBRE Clarion Global Real Estateome Fund Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

CBRE Clarion Global Real Estateome Fund Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

CBRE Clarion Global Real Estateome Fund Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of CBRE Clarion Global Real Estateome Fund's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

CBRE Clarion Global Real Estateome Fund (CBRE Clarion Global Real Estateome Fund) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » CBRE Clarion Global Real Estate Income Fund (NYSE:IGR) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

201 King of Prussia Road, Suite 600, Radnor, PA, USA, 19087

Website

https://www.cbreclarion.com

CBRE Clarion Global Real Estate Income Fund is the United States based diversified, closed-end management investment company. Its objective is high current income and its secondary objective is capital appreciation. The fund invests a majority of its total assets in income-producing real estate securities located mainly in the developed markets of North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. Its portfolio of investments consists of different sectors such as diversified, retail, industrial, residential, hotels, healthcare, and other sectors.

Executives

Jonathan D Miniman	other: Portfolio Manager	201 KING OF PRUSSIA RD, SUITE 600, RADNOR PA 19087
Joseph P Smith	other: Sr. Dir of Investment Advisor	201 KING OF PRUSSIA RD SUITE 600, RADNOR PA 19087
Asuka Nakahara	director	527 GREYSTONE ROAD, MERION PA 19066
T Ritson Ferguson	director, officer: President & CEO, other: Pres./CEO; Managing Dir IA	201 KING OF PRUSSIA ROAD, RADNOR PA 19087
Leslie E Greis	director	C/O CBRE CLARION GLOBAL REAL ESTATE INCO, 201 KING OF PRUSSIA ROAD, SUITE 600, RADNOR PA 19087
Kenneth S Weinberg	other: Portfolio Manager	201 KING OF PRUSSIA RD, SUITE 600, RADNOR PA 19087
John R Bartholdson	director
Heidi Stam	director	110 QUAIL STREET, WAYNE PA 19087
Tull Robert Stanley Iii	officer: Secretary & CCO	201 KING OF PRUSSIA ROAD, SUITE 600, RADNOR PA 19087
Richard L Sutton	director	10 BARLEYMILL DRIVE, WILMINGTON DE 10019
Frederick S Hammer	director	400 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Jarrett B Kling	director	1272 GULPH CREEK DRIVE, RADNOR PA 19087
Citigroup Inc	10 percent owner	388 GREENWICH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10013
Steven D Burton	other: Sr. Dir of Investment Advisor	423 ROUND HILL RD, ST DAVIDS PA 19087
Kenneth Campbell	other: Portfolio Mgr; Managing Dir IA	1419 LANES END, VILLINOVA PA 19085