HireRight Holdings (HireRight Holdings) Predictability Rank

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What is HireRight Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

HireRight Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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HireRight Holdings (HireRight Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Business Services » HireRight Holdings Corp (NYSE:HRT) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

100 Centerview Drive, Suite 300, Nashville, TN, USA, 37214

Website

https://www.hireright.com

HireRight Holdings Corp is a global provider of technology-driven workforce risk management and compliance solutions. It provides comprehensive background screening, verification, identification, monitoring, and drug and health screening services. It offers services via a unified global software and data platform that tightly integrates into its customers' human capital management (HCM) systems enabling effective and efficient workflows for workforce hiring, onboarding, and monitoring. The company's revenues is derived from contracts to provide services. Majority of the revenue is generated from United States.

Executives

Mary O'loughlin	officer: EVP, North America	100 CENTERVIEW DRIVE, SUITE 300, NASHVILLE TN 37214
Michael E Ensor	officer: SVP, Global Head of Operations	100 CENTERVIEW DRIVE, SUITE 300, NASHVILLE TN 37214
James R Daxner	officer: EVP, Global Head of Product	100 CENTERVIEW DRIVE, SUITE 300, NASHVILLE TN 37214
James Laplaine	director	100 CENTERVIEW DR,, NASHVILLE TN 37214
Lisa L Troe	director	12181 BLUFF CREEK DRIVE, 4TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90094
Rjc Gis Holdings Llc	10 percent owner	401 QUAY COMMONS UNIT 1801, SARASOTA FL 34236
Venkat Bhamidipati	director	6220 AMERICA CENTER DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95002
Lawrence M Kutscher	director	ONE DIAMOND HILL RD, MURRAY HILL NJ 07974
Jeanne S. Conrad	10 percent owner	401 QUAY COMMONS UNIT 1801, SARASOTA FL 34236
Raymond W. Conrad	10 percent owner	401 QUAY COMMONS UNIT 1801, SARASOTA FL 34236
General Atlantic, L.p.	director, 10 percent owner	55 EAST 52ND STREET, 33RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10055
General Atlantic Genpar (bermuda), L.p.	director, 10 percent owner	C/O GENERAL ATLANTIC SERVICE COMPANY,LLC, 55 EAST 52ND ST. 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10055
General Atlantic Partners (bermuda) Hrg Ii, L.p.	director, 10 percent owner	C/O CONYERS CLIENT SERVICES LIMITED, CLARENDON HOUSE, 2 CHURCH STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM11
General Atlantic (spv) Gp (bermuda), Llc	director, 10 percent owner	C/O CONYERS CLIENT SERVICES LIMITED, CLARENDON HOUSE, 2 CHURCH STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM11
Gap (bermuda) L.p.	director, 10 percent owner	C/O GENERAL ATLANTIC SERVICE COMPANY, 55 EAST 52ND ST. 32ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10055